Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including the GFS and regional guidance show a moderate westerly flow over southern Germany on August 31, with daytime highs expected to reach 23–25°C amid partly cloudy skies and limited afternoon heating. This aligns closely with the late-August climatological average of 22.4°C while remaining well below historical extremes above 30°C. Scattered showers may briefly suppress temperatures early in the day before clearing, supporting the market’s concentration on 24–26°C outcomes. Updated model runs and observational data from the next 48 hours will refine peak readings before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on August 31?
25°C 45%
24°C 29%
23°C 22%
26°C 20%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
8%
23°C
22%
24°C
29%
25°C
45%
26°C
20%
27°C
7%
28°C or higher
4%
25°C 45%
24°C 29%
23°C 22%
26°C 20%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
8%
23°C
22%
24°C
29%
25°C
45%
26°C
20%
27°C
7%
28°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including the GFS and regional guidance show a moderate westerly flow over southern Germany on August 31, with daytime highs expected to reach 23–25°C amid partly cloudy skies and limited afternoon heating. This aligns closely with the late-August climatological average of 22.4°C while remaining well below historical extremes above 30°C. Scattered showers may briefly suppress temperatures early in the day before clearing, supporting the market’s concentration on 24–26°C outcomes. Updated model runs and observational data from the next 48 hours will refine peak readings before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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