Forecast models from sources including GFS and European ensembles indicate Munich's minimum temperature on August 31 will most likely fall in the 14–17°C range, driven by a mild southwesterly flow, high humidity, and overnight cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Current 10-day guidance shows lows near 15–16°C under partly cloudy to showery conditions with west winds of 10–15 km/h, consistent with late-summer climatology but above the 1991–2020 average low of 12.4°C. Trader emphasis on 15°C and 16°C outcomes reflects convergence in short-range runs, while elevated probability on 21°C or higher captures residual uncertainty in model spread and potential for warmer advection if skies clear earlier than expected. Updated NWP guidance and station observations over the next 48 hours will refine these market-implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Munich on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Munich on August 31?
11°C or below 98%
21°C or higher 88%
17°C 49%
18°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
11°C or below
98%
12°C
20%
13°C
25%
14°C
26%
15°C
29%
16°C
26%
17°C
49%
18°C
49%
19°C
2%
20°C
8%
21°C or higher
88%
11°C or below 98%
21°C or higher 88%
17°C 49%
18°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
11°C or below
$0 Vol.
98%
12°C
$0 Vol.
20%
13°C
$0 Vol.
25%
14°C
$0 Vol.
26%
15°C
$0 Vol.
29%
16°C
$0 Vol.
26%
17°C
$0 Vol.
49%
18°C
$0 Vol.
49%
19°C
$0 Vol.
2%
20°C
$0 Vol.
8%
21°C or higher
$0 Vol.
88%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and European ensembles indicate Munich's minimum temperature on August 31 will most likely fall in the 14–17°C range, driven by a mild southwesterly flow, high humidity, and overnight cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Current 10-day guidance shows lows near 15–16°C under partly cloudy to showery conditions with west winds of 10–15 km/h, consistent with late-summer climatology but above the 1991–2020 average low of 12.4°C. Trader emphasis on 15°C and 16°C outcomes reflects convergence in short-range runs, while elevated probability on 21°C or higher captures residual uncertainty in model spread and potential for warmer advection if skies clear earlier than expected. Updated NWP guidance and station observations over the next 48 hours will refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and European ensembles indicate Munich's minimum temperature on August 31 will most likely fall in the 14–17°C range, driven by a mild southwesterly flow, high humidity, and overnight cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Current 10-day guidance shows lows near 15–16°C under partly cloudy to showery conditions with west winds of 10–15 km/h, consistent with late-summer climatology but above the 1991–2020 average low of 12.4°C. Trader emphasis on 15°C and 16°C outcomes reflects convergence in short-range runs, while elevated probability on 21°C or higher captures residual uncertainty in model spread and potential for warmer advection if skies clear earlier than expected. Updated NWP guidance and station observations over the next 48 hours will refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including GFS and European ensembles indicate Munich's minimum temperature on August 31 will most likely fall in the 14–17°C range, driven by a mild southwesterly flow, high humidity, and overnight cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Current 10-day guidance shows lows near 15–16°C under partly cloudy to showery conditions with west winds of 10–15 km/h, consistent with late-summer climatology but above the 1991–2020 average low of 12.4°C. Trader emphasis on 15°C and 16°C outcomes reflects convergence in short-range runs, while elevated probability on 21°C or higher captures residual uncertainty in model spread and potential for warmer advection if skies clear earlier than expected. Updated NWP guidance and station observations over the next 48 hours will refine these market-implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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