Trader consensus heavily favors a lowest temperature of 28°C in Singapore on August 25, reflecting recent meteorological observations of persistently warm nights driven by drier regional conditions and elevated humidity that limit nocturnal cooling. Official outlooks from Singapore’s meteorological service indicate minimum temperatures have remained above 27°C on multiple recent days, consistent with August climatology where average overnight lows hover near 26°C but can stay elevated under reduced rainfall and stable atmospheric patterns. This skin-in-the-game positioning aligns with current forecast guidance showing overnight values near 26–27°C, though localized variations at official stations could still produce a 27°C reading if stronger radiative cooling develops overnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Singapore on August 25?
28°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$4,123 Vol.
$4,123 Vol.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$4,123 Vol.
$4,123 Vol.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus heavily favors a lowest temperature of 28°C in Singapore on August 25, reflecting recent meteorological observations of persistently warm nights driven by drier regional conditions and elevated humidity that limit nocturnal cooling. Official outlooks from Singapore’s meteorological service indicate minimum temperatures have remained above 27°C on multiple recent days, consistent with August climatology where average overnight lows hover near 26°C but can stay elevated under reduced rainfall and stable atmospheric patterns. This skin-in-the-game positioning aligns with current forecast guidance showing overnight values near 26–27°C, though localized variations at official stations could still produce a 27°C reading if stronger radiative cooling develops overnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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