Persistent monsoon humidity and extensive cloud cover over the Arabian Sea region are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Karachi, supporting minimum temperatures clustered around 26–27°C for August 30. Strong southwest winds of 15–20 knots advect moist maritime air, elevating dew points near 23–24°C and further suppressing temperature drops, while scattered light rain chances add minor evaporative effects without major cooling. Recent station data show comparable recent lows of 26–27°C under similar patterns, aligning with model consensus from GFS and regional guidance. With probabilities tightly grouped between 25–28°C, traders weigh small forecast shifts in cloud thickness or wind strength that could tip the overnight low by 1°C before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Karachi on August 30?
29°C 50%
23°C 49%
26°C 40%
28°C 27%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
10%
23°C
49%
24°C
25%
25°C
26%
26°C
40%
27°C
30%
28°C
27%
29°C
50%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
21%
29°C 50%
23°C 49%
26°C 40%
28°C 27%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
10%
23°C
49%
24°C
25%
25°C
26%
26°C
40%
27°C
30%
28°C
27%
29°C
50%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
21%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent monsoon humidity and extensive cloud cover over the Arabian Sea region are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Karachi, supporting minimum temperatures clustered around 26–27°C for August 30. Strong southwest winds of 15–20 knots advect moist maritime air, elevating dew points near 23–24°C and further suppressing temperature drops, while scattered light rain chances add minor evaporative effects without major cooling. Recent station data show comparable recent lows of 26–27°C under similar patterns, aligning with model consensus from GFS and regional guidance. With probabilities tightly grouped between 25–28°C, traders weigh small forecast shifts in cloud thickness or wind strength that could tip the overnight low by 1°C before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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