Trader consensus on a 27°C minimum in Guangzhou on August 25 rests on official CMA forecasts and observational data showing overnight lows stabilizing near 26–27°C under persistent overcast skies, high humidity above 75%, and light northeasterly flow typical of late-August monsoon patterns. These conditions limit radiative cooling while aligning with climatological baselines where August minima average 25–26°C. Scattered showers and urban heat-island effects further anchor the floor near this level. A realistic shift could occur only with stronger-than-expected nocturnal clearing or an unforecast influx of cooler air from the north, though current model consensus shows low probability of such changes before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 25?
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$4,459 Vol.
$4,459 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$4,459 Vol.
$4,459 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
22°C or below
$355 Vol.
No
23°C
$148 Vol.
No
24°C
$150 Vol.
No
25°C
$85 Vol.
No
26°C
$117 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,652 Vol.
Yes
28°C
$306 Vol.
No
29°C
$647 Vol.
No
30°C
$289 Vol.
No
31°C
$215 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$495 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on a 27°C minimum in Guangzhou on August 25 rests on official CMA forecasts and observational data showing overnight lows stabilizing near 26–27°C under persistent overcast skies, high humidity above 75%, and light northeasterly flow typical of late-August monsoon patterns. These conditions limit radiative cooling while aligning with climatological baselines where August minima average 25–26°C. Scattered showers and urban heat-island effects further anchor the floor near this level. A realistic shift could occur only with stronger-than-expected nocturnal clearing or an unforecast influx of cooler air from the north, though current model consensus shows low probability of such changes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$4,459End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on a 27°C minimum in Guangzhou on August 25 rests on official CMA forecasts and observational data showing overnight lows stabilizing near 26–27°C under persistent overcast skies, high humidity above 75%, and light northeasterly flow typical of late-August monsoon patterns. These conditions limit radiative cooling while aligning with climatological baselines where August minima average 25–26°C. Scattered showers and urban heat-island effects further anchor the floor near this level. A realistic shift could occur only with stronger-than-expected nocturnal clearing or an unforecast influx of cooler air from the north, though current model consensus shows low probability of such changes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,459End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on a 27°C minimum in Guangzhou on August 25 rests on official CMA forecasts and observational data showing overnight lows stabilizing near 26–27°C under persistent overcast skies, high humidity above 75%, and light northeasterly flow typical of late-August monsoon patterns. These conditions limit radiative cooling while aligning with climatological baselines where August minima average 25–26°C. Scattered showers and urban heat-island effects further anchor the floor near this level. A realistic shift could occur only with stronger-than-expected nocturnal clearing or an unforecast influx of cooler air from the north, though current model consensus shows low probability of such changes before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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