Trader consensus on a 7°C low for Buenos Aires on August 25 reflects confirmed observations from Servicio Meteorológico Nacional stations, consistent with post-frontal conditions after earlier cold air advection. Northeast winds and moderating temperatures produced a minimum near this threshold during early morning hours, aligning with climatological August norms of 7°C average lows while avoiding deeper freezes seen mid-month. Official hourly data and model verification support this exact resolution criterion over adjacent bins. Minor variations in microsite readings or reporting timing represent the primary uncertainty, though unlikely to shift the outcome given the tight market-implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 25?
7°C 100.0%
2°C or below <1%
3°C <1%
4°C <1%
$2,707 Vol.
$2,707 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
2°C or below
No
3°C
No
4°C
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
Yes
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C or higher
No
7°C 100.0%
2°C or below <1%
3°C <1%
4°C <1%
$2,707 Vol.
$2,707 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
2°C or below
$325 Vol.
No
3°C
$108 Vol.
No
4°C
$108 Vol.
No
5°C
$108 Vol.
No
6°C
$51 Vol.
No
7°C
$240 Vol.
Yes
8°C
$129 Vol.
No
9°C
$335 Vol.
No
10°C
$475 Vol.
No
11°C
$460 Vol.
No
12°C or higher
$368 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on a 7°C low for Buenos Aires on August 25 reflects confirmed observations from Servicio Meteorológico Nacional stations, consistent with post-frontal conditions after earlier cold air advection. Northeast winds and moderating temperatures produced a minimum near this threshold during early morning hours, aligning with climatological August norms of 7°C average lows while avoiding deeper freezes seen mid-month. Official hourly data and model verification support this exact resolution criterion over adjacent bins. Minor variations in microsite readings or reporting timing represent the primary uncertainty, though unlikely to shift the outcome given the tight market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$2,707End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on a 7°C low for Buenos Aires on August 25 reflects confirmed observations from Servicio Meteorológico Nacional stations, consistent with post-frontal conditions after earlier cold air advection. Northeast winds and moderating temperatures produced a minimum near this threshold during early morning hours, aligning with climatological August norms of 7°C average lows while avoiding deeper freezes seen mid-month. Official hourly data and model verification support this exact resolution criterion over adjacent bins. Minor variations in microsite readings or reporting timing represent the primary uncertainty, though unlikely to shift the outcome given the tight market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,707End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on a 7°C low for Buenos Aires on August 25 reflects confirmed observations from Servicio Meteorológico Nacional stations, consistent with post-frontal conditions after earlier cold air advection. Northeast winds and moderating temperatures produced a minimum near this threshold during early morning hours, aligning with climatological August norms of 7°C average lows while avoiding deeper freezes seen mid-month. Official hourly data and model verification support this exact resolution criterion over adjacent bins. Minor variations in microsite readings or reporting timing represent the primary uncertainty, though unlikely to shift the outcome given the tight market-implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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