Official National Weather Service observations at Austin stations recorded an overnight low of 76–77°F on August 24, 2026, under persistent high pressure and clear skies typical of late-summer Central Texas conditions. This aligns with climatological averages near 75°F and the absence of cooling influences such as clouds, precipitation, or frontal passages that could enhance radiative cooling. Market-implied odds near 100% on the 76–77°F bin reflect traders incorporating these verified measurements and model consensus showing limited overnight temperature drops. A realistic shift would require unexpected convective activity or moisture advection lowering the minimum below 76°F, though current atmospheric patterns made such outcomes highly improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Austin on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Austin on August 24?
76-77°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$3,436 Vol.
$3,436 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
73°F or below
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
Yes
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92°F or higher
No
76-77°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$3,436 Vol.
$3,436 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
73°F or below
$206 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$274 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$434 Vol.
Yes
78-79°F
$280 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$336 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$196 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$215 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$340 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$315 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$411 Vol.
No
92°F or higher
$430 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations at Austin stations recorded an overnight low of 76–77°F on August 24, 2026, under persistent high pressure and clear skies typical of late-summer Central Texas conditions. This aligns with climatological averages near 75°F and the absence of cooling influences such as clouds, precipitation, or frontal passages that could enhance radiative cooling. Market-implied odds near 100% on the 76–77°F bin reflect traders incorporating these verified measurements and model consensus showing limited overnight temperature drops. A realistic shift would require unexpected convective activity or moisture advection lowering the minimum below 76°F, though current atmospheric patterns made such outcomes highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$3,436End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations at Austin stations recorded an overnight low of 76–77°F on August 24, 2026, under persistent high pressure and clear skies typical of late-summer Central Texas conditions. This aligns with climatological averages near 75°F and the absence of cooling influences such as clouds, precipitation, or frontal passages that could enhance radiative cooling. Market-implied odds near 100% on the 76–77°F bin reflect traders incorporating these verified measurements and model consensus showing limited overnight temperature drops. A realistic shift would require unexpected convective activity or moisture advection lowering the minimum below 76°F, though current atmospheric patterns made such outcomes highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,436End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Official National Weather Service observations at Austin stations recorded an overnight low of 76–77°F on August 24, 2026, under persistent high pressure and clear skies typical of late-summer Central Texas conditions. This aligns with climatological averages near 75°F and the absence of cooling influences such as clouds, precipitation, or frontal passages that could enhance radiative cooling. Market-implied odds near 100% on the 76–77°F bin reflect traders incorporating these verified measurements and model consensus showing limited overnight temperature drops. A realistic shift would require unexpected convective activity or moisture advection lowering the minimum below 76°F, though current atmospheric patterns made such outcomes highly improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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