Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a high near 13–15°C for Wellington on August 31 under northwesterly flow, consistent with late-winter patterns where mild advection often produces daytime peaks several degrees above seasonal averages of 12–13°C. This positioning underpins the market’s strong consensus around 16°C, as traders weigh the potential for brief warming episodes against the risk of cooler onshore winds or showers that could cap maxima closer to 14–15°C. Recent August observations, including isolated 17°C readings earlier in the month, add modest upside support, though model agreement favors the lower end of the distribution with resolution dependent on final observational data from official stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wellington on August 31?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 31?
16°C 62%
17°C 28%
15°C 9%
18°C 2.4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
9%
16°C
62%
17°C
28%
18°C
2%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 62%
17°C 28%
15°C 9%
18°C 2.4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
11°C or below
$186 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$206 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$251 Vol.
1%
14°C
$325 Vol.
2%
15°C
$1,497 Vol.
9%
16°C
$1,617 Vol.
62%
17°C
$600 Vol.
28%
18°C
$123 Vol.
2%
19°C
$202 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$196 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$186 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a high near 13–15°C for Wellington on August 31 under northwesterly flow, consistent with late-winter patterns where mild advection often produces daytime peaks several degrees above seasonal averages of 12–13°C. This positioning underpins the market’s strong consensus around 16°C, as traders weigh the potential for brief warming episodes against the risk of cooler onshore winds or showers that could cap maxima closer to 14–15°C. Recent August observations, including isolated 17°C readings earlier in the month, add modest upside support, though model agreement favors the lower end of the distribution with resolution dependent on final observational data from official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$5,388End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a high near 13–15°C for Wellington on August 31 under northwesterly flow, consistent with late-winter patterns where mild advection often produces daytime peaks several degrees above seasonal averages of 12–13°C. This positioning underpins the market’s strong consensus around 16°C, as traders weigh the potential for brief warming episodes against the risk of cooler onshore winds or showers that could cap maxima closer to 14–15°C. Recent August observations, including isolated 17°C readings earlier in the month, add modest upside support, though model agreement favors the lower end of the distribution with resolution dependent on final observational data from official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,388End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a high near 13–15°C for Wellington on August 31 under northwesterly flow, consistent with late-winter patterns where mild advection often produces daytime peaks several degrees above seasonal averages of 12–13°C. This positioning underpins the market’s strong consensus around 16°C, as traders weigh the potential for brief warming episodes against the risk of cooler onshore winds or showers that could cap maxima closer to 14–15°C. Recent August observations, including isolated 17°C readings earlier in the month, add modest upside support, though model agreement favors the lower end of the distribution with resolution dependent on final observational data from official stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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