Traders have converged overwhelmingly on a 16°C high for Wellington on August 26 due to consistent real-time observations and forecast model outputs from official sources such as MetService New Zealand and NIWA. Current conditions feature mild northerly flows with temperatures climbing steadily through the afternoon under mostly cloudy skies, aligning closely with the 16°C threshold rather than cooler baselines typical for late winter. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this value, with minimal risk of significant warming or cooling from frontal passages. Measurement at the primary Wellington airport station remains the resolution standard, though localized urban heat or timing of peak readings could introduce minor variance if conditions shift unexpectedly before midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wellington on August 26?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 26?
16°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$67,381 Vol.
$67,381 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$67,381 Vol.
$67,381 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
10°C or below
$2,332 Vol.
No
11°C
$289 Vol.
No
12°C
$1,333 Vol.
No
13°C
$1,699 Vol.
No
14°C
$9,894 Vol.
No
15°C
$19,586 Vol.
No
16°C
$15,345 Vol.
Yes
17°C
$11,711 Vol.
No
18°C
$3,814 Vol.
No
19°C
$1,110 Vol.
No
20°C or higher
$269 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged overwhelmingly on a 16°C high for Wellington on August 26 due to consistent real-time observations and forecast model outputs from official sources such as MetService New Zealand and NIWA. Current conditions feature mild northerly flows with temperatures climbing steadily through the afternoon under mostly cloudy skies, aligning closely with the 16°C threshold rather than cooler baselines typical for late winter. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this value, with minimal risk of significant warming or cooling from frontal passages. Measurement at the primary Wellington airport station remains the resolution standard, though localized urban heat or timing of peak readings could introduce minor variance if conditions shift unexpectedly before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$67,381End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged overwhelmingly on a 16°C high for Wellington on August 26 due to consistent real-time observations and forecast model outputs from official sources such as MetService New Zealand and NIWA. Current conditions feature mild northerly flows with temperatures climbing steadily through the afternoon under mostly cloudy skies, aligning closely with the 16°C threshold rather than cooler baselines typical for late winter. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this value, with minimal risk of significant warming or cooling from frontal passages. Measurement at the primary Wellington airport station remains the resolution standard, though localized urban heat or timing of peak readings could introduce minor variance if conditions shift unexpectedly before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$67,381End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Traders have converged overwhelmingly on a 16°C high for Wellington on August 26 due to consistent real-time observations and forecast model outputs from official sources such as MetService New Zealand and NIWA. Current conditions feature mild northerly flows with temperatures climbing steadily through the afternoon under mostly cloudy skies, aligning closely with the 16°C threshold rather than cooler baselines typical for late winter. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this value, with minimal risk of significant warming or cooling from frontal passages. Measurement at the primary Wellington airport station remains the resolution standard, though localized urban heat or timing of peak readings could introduce minor variance if conditions shift unexpectedly before midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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