**Persistent southwest monsoon conditions are sustaining elevated maximum temperatures across Singapore, with the official fortnightly outlook projecting daily highs of 33–34°C on most days through August 31 and the potential to reach 35°C on isolated occasions.** Recent observations reinforce this positioning: maximum temperatures exceeded 33°C on nearly every day in the first half of August, peaking at 34.9°C. Current model guidance for August 31 shows afternoon highs clustering near 31–32°C (88–89°F) amid partly cloudy skies and scattered thundery showers, yet the market-implied odds favor 33°C (54.5%) over 32°C (34.5%) because monsoon-driven heat and humidity typically push peaks into the upper range of forecasts. Shorter-term updates from the National Environment Agency and refined model runs in the final 48 hours will determine whether convection suppresses readings or allows the higher end of the outlook to materialize.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on August 31?
33°C 54%
32°C 35%
34°C 8%
31°C 5%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
5%
32°C
35%
33°C
54%
34°C
8%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 54%
32°C 35%
34°C 8%
31°C 5%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
5%
32°C
35%
33°C
54%
34°C
8%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent southwest monsoon conditions are sustaining elevated maximum temperatures across Singapore, with the official fortnightly outlook projecting daily highs of 33–34°C on most days through August 31 and the potential to reach 35°C on isolated occasions.** Recent observations reinforce this positioning: maximum temperatures exceeded 33°C on nearly every day in the first half of August, peaking at 34.9°C. Current model guidance for August 31 shows afternoon highs clustering near 31–32°C (88–89°F) amid partly cloudy skies and scattered thundery showers, yet the market-implied odds favor 33°C (54.5%) over 32°C (34.5%) because monsoon-driven heat and humidity typically push peaks into the upper range of forecasts. Shorter-term updates from the National Environment Agency and refined model runs in the final 48 hours will determine whether convection suppresses readings or allows the higher end of the outlook to materialize.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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