Persistent cloud cover, frequent afternoon thunderstorms, and the peak of Mexico City's rainy season suppressed daytime heating on August 24, 2026, producing an official maximum of 20 °C—well below the climatological August average near 23–24 °C. National weather service observations and station data confirm this value, driving the market-implied odds to near-certainty on the 20 °C outcome as resolution nears. Trader consensus reflects the strong alignment between real-time forecasts and post-event measurements. Minor revisions in the final official record or discrepancies between reporting stations remain the only realistic paths that could shift the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 24?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 24?
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$18,976 Vol.
$18,976 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$18,976 Vol.
$18,976 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
15°C or below
$144 Vol.
No
16°C
$149 Vol.
No
17°C
$1,771 Vol.
No
18°C
$2,337 Vol.
No
19°C
$4,309 Vol.
No
20°C
$3,697 Vol.
Yes
21°C
$2,217 Vol.
No
22°C
$1,776 Vol.
No
23°C
$1,472 Vol.
No
24°C
$205 Vol.
No
25°C or higher
$900 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, frequent afternoon thunderstorms, and the peak of Mexico City's rainy season suppressed daytime heating on August 24, 2026, producing an official maximum of 20 °C—well below the climatological August average near 23–24 °C. National weather service observations and station data confirm this value, driving the market-implied odds to near-certainty on the 20 °C outcome as resolution nears. Trader consensus reflects the strong alignment between real-time forecasts and post-event measurements. Minor revisions in the final official record or discrepancies between reporting stations remain the only realistic paths that could shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$18,976End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, frequent afternoon thunderstorms, and the peak of Mexico City's rainy season suppressed daytime heating on August 24, 2026, producing an official maximum of 20 °C—well below the climatological August average near 23–24 °C. National weather service observations and station data confirm this value, driving the market-implied odds to near-certainty on the 20 °C outcome as resolution nears. Trader consensus reflects the strong alignment between real-time forecasts and post-event measurements. Minor revisions in the final official record or discrepancies between reporting stations remain the only realistic paths that could shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$18,976End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Persistent cloud cover, frequent afternoon thunderstorms, and the peak of Mexico City's rainy season suppressed daytime heating on August 24, 2026, producing an official maximum of 20 °C—well below the climatological August average near 23–24 °C. National weather service observations and station data confirm this value, driving the market-implied odds to near-certainty on the 20 °C outcome as resolution nears. Trader consensus reflects the strong alignment between real-time forecasts and post-event measurements. Minor revisions in the final official record or discrepancies between reporting stations remain the only realistic paths that could shift the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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