Trader consensus at 100% for a 31°C daily maximum in Manila on August 25 reflects official forecasts from PAGASA and international models showing highs of 30–32°C amid the southwest monsoon. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered thunderstorms limit solar heating and align with climatological August averages of 30–31°C at Ninoy Aquino International Airport. Model runs consistently indicate southwest winds and afternoon convection that cap peaks near this level. A rapid clearing of skies or delayed monsoon surge could push readings to 33°C or higher, while heavier localized rainfall might hold the maximum at or below 30°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Manila on August 25?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 25?
31°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$13,466 Vol.
$13,466 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$13,466 Vol.
$13,466 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
26°C or below
$421 Vol.
No
27°C
$715 Vol.
No
28°C
$473 Vol.
No
29°C
$309 Vol.
No
30°C
$1,323 Vol.
No
31°C
$4,168 Vol.
Yes
32°C
$2,804 Vol.
No
33°C
$1,317 Vol.
No
34°C
$1,139 Vol.
No
35°C
$318 Vol.
No
36°C or higher
$480 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus at 100% for a 31°C daily maximum in Manila on August 25 reflects official forecasts from PAGASA and international models showing highs of 30–32°C amid the southwest monsoon. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered thunderstorms limit solar heating and align with climatological August averages of 30–31°C at Ninoy Aquino International Airport. Model runs consistently indicate southwest winds and afternoon convection that cap peaks near this level. A rapid clearing of skies or delayed monsoon surge could push readings to 33°C or higher, while heavier localized rainfall might hold the maximum at or below 30°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volume
$13,466End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:59 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus at 100% for a 31°C daily maximum in Manila on August 25 reflects official forecasts from PAGASA and international models showing highs of 30–32°C amid the southwest monsoon. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered thunderstorms limit solar heating and align with climatological August averages of 30–31°C at Ninoy Aquino International Airport. Model runs consistently indicate southwest winds and afternoon convection that cap peaks near this level. A rapid clearing of skies or delayed monsoon surge could push readings to 33°C or higher, while heavier localized rainfall might hold the maximum at or below 30°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,466End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:59 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus at 100% for a 31°C daily maximum in Manila on August 25 reflects official forecasts from PAGASA and international models showing highs of 30–32°C amid the southwest monsoon. Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered thunderstorms limit solar heating and align with climatological August averages of 30–31°C at Ninoy Aquino International Airport. Model runs consistently indicate southwest winds and afternoon convection that cap peaks near this level. A rapid clearing of skies or delayed monsoon surge could push readings to 33°C or higher, while heavier localized rainfall might hold the maximum at or below 30°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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