Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers associated with a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea suppressed solar heating across Hong Kong on August 22, 2026, producing an official Hong Kong Observatory maximum of 31.8 °C at the central station. High humidity levels of 70–95 % combined with southwesterly flow further limited afternoon warming, keeping readings within the 31 °C band despite regional spikes to 33.6 °C at exposed sites. This observational record from the Hong Kong Observatory underpins the near-100 % market-implied odds on 31 °C. Late revisions to finalized daily data or differing interpretations of regional versus headquarters readings remain the only realistic scenarios that could alter resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 22?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 22?
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$165,724 Vol.
$165,724 Vol.
Aug 22, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$165,724 Vol.
$165,724 Vol.
Aug 22, 2026
25°C or below
$268 Vol.
No
26°C
$382 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,233 Vol.
No
28°C
$12,392 Vol.
No
29°C
$31,863 Vol.
No
30°C
$22,597 Vol.
No
31°C
$39,748 Vol.
Yes
32°C
$21,119 Vol.
No
33°C
$24,570 Vol.
No
34°C
$7,986 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$3,566 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers associated with a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea suppressed solar heating across Hong Kong on August 22, 2026, producing an official Hong Kong Observatory maximum of 31.8 °C at the central station. High humidity levels of 70–95 % combined with southwesterly flow further limited afternoon warming, keeping readings within the 31 °C band despite regional spikes to 33.6 °C at exposed sites. This observational record from the Hong Kong Observatory underpins the near-100 % market-implied odds on 31 °C. Late revisions to finalized daily data or differing interpretations of regional versus headquarters readings remain the only realistic scenarios that could alter resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$165,724End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers associated with a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea suppressed solar heating across Hong Kong on August 22, 2026, producing an official Hong Kong Observatory maximum of 31.8 °C at the central station. High humidity levels of 70–95 % combined with southwesterly flow further limited afternoon warming, keeping readings within the 31 °C band despite regional spikes to 33.6 °C at exposed sites. This observational record from the Hong Kong Observatory underpins the near-100 % market-implied odds on 31 °C. Late revisions to finalized daily data or differing interpretations of regional versus headquarters readings remain the only realistic scenarios that could alter resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$165,724End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers associated with a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea suppressed solar heating across Hong Kong on August 22, 2026, producing an official Hong Kong Observatory maximum of 31.8 °C at the central station. High humidity levels of 70–95 % combined with southwesterly flow further limited afternoon warming, keeping readings within the 31 °C band despite regional spikes to 33.6 °C at exposed sites. This observational record from the Hong Kong Observatory underpins the near-100 % market-implied odds on 31 °C. Late revisions to finalized daily data or differing interpretations of regional versus headquarters readings remain the only realistic scenarios that could alter resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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