The Hong Kong Observatory forecast anchors trader consensus around a 30°C high for August 30, citing a broad low-pressure trough driving unsettled southwesterly flow, frequent showers, and thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. High humidity (80-95%) and extensive cloud cover further cap temperatures, consistent with recent observations of 32-34°C peaks on clearer days giving way to cooler, rainier conditions. Model agreement and the official 27-30°C range explain the combined 69% implied probability on 29-31°C outcomes, while residual uncertainty over shower timing and intensity supports modest probabilities on adjacent values. Updated HKO briefings and regional observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 30?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 30?
30°C 38%
29°C 30%
31°C 26%
32°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
4%
29°C
30%
30°C
38%
31°C
26%
32°C
7%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 38%
29°C 30%
31°C 26%
32°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
26°C or below
$125 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$415 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,472 Vol.
4%
29°C
$1,357 Vol.
30%
30°C
$2,678 Vol.
38%
31°C
$964 Vol.
26%
32°C
$768 Vol.
7%
33°C
$284 Vol.
2%
34°C
$332 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$173 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$121 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory forecast anchors trader consensus around a 30°C high for August 30, citing a broad low-pressure trough driving unsettled southwesterly flow, frequent showers, and thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. High humidity (80-95%) and extensive cloud cover further cap temperatures, consistent with recent observations of 32-34°C peaks on clearer days giving way to cooler, rainier conditions. Model agreement and the official 27-30°C range explain the combined 69% implied probability on 29-31°C outcomes, while residual uncertainty over shower timing and intensity supports modest probabilities on adjacent values. Updated HKO briefings and regional observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$8,689End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory forecast anchors trader consensus around a 30°C high for August 30, citing a broad low-pressure trough driving unsettled southwesterly flow, frequent showers, and thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. High humidity (80-95%) and extensive cloud cover further cap temperatures, consistent with recent observations of 32-34°C peaks on clearer days giving way to cooler, rainier conditions. Model agreement and the official 27-30°C range explain the combined 69% implied probability on 29-31°C outcomes, while residual uncertainty over shower timing and intensity supports modest probabilities on adjacent values. Updated HKO briefings and regional observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$8,689End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Hong Kong Observatory forecast anchors trader consensus around a 30°C high for August 30, citing a broad low-pressure trough driving unsettled southwesterly flow, frequent showers, and thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. High humidity (80-95%) and extensive cloud cover further cap temperatures, consistent with recent observations of 32-34°C peaks on clearer days giving way to cooler, rainier conditions. Model agreement and the official 27-30°C range explain the combined 69% implied probability on 29-31°C outcomes, while residual uncertainty over shower timing and intensity supports modest probabilities on adjacent values. Updated HKO briefings and regional observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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