Trader consensus heavily favors a 26°C minimum for Kuala Lumpur on August 25 due to stable equatorial conditions and current forecast guidance projecting overnight lows near that threshold. In Malaysia’s tropical climate, August typically features average daily minima of 23–24°C amid the southwest monsoon’s drier phase, with limited nocturnal cooling from high humidity, cloud cover, and urban heat retention. Official monitoring from agencies like the Malaysian Meteorological Department shows consistent readings in this range historically, though recent model runs indicate slightly warmer boundary-layer temperatures preventing deeper drops. A realistic challenge would require unexpected heavy nocturnal rainfall, stronger-than-forecast radiative cooling, or a station-specific anomaly deviating from the city-wide average.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on August 25?
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$5,313 Vol.
$5,313 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$5,313 Vol.
$5,313 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus heavily favors a 26°C minimum for Kuala Lumpur on August 25 due to stable equatorial conditions and current forecast guidance projecting overnight lows near that threshold. In Malaysia’s tropical climate, August typically features average daily minima of 23–24°C amid the southwest monsoon’s drier phase, with limited nocturnal cooling from high humidity, cloud cover, and urban heat retention. Official monitoring from agencies like the Malaysian Meteorological Department shows consistent readings in this range historically, though recent model runs indicate slightly warmer boundary-layer temperatures preventing deeper drops. A realistic challenge would require unexpected heavy nocturnal rainfall, stronger-than-forecast radiative cooling, or a station-specific anomaly deviating from the city-wide average.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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