Persistent subtropical high pressure and residual influence from tropical systems like "Zitan" have sustained elevated overnight temperatures across Chongqing, limiting radiative cooling amid high humidity levels near 70-90% and scattered cloud cover from light showers. Official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Observatory and multiple models indicate nighttime lows stabilizing near 27-29°C on August 25, consistent with recent observations of minima around 27-30°C amid a regional heatwave where daytime highs reached 38-40°C. This supports the market's strong consensus for a 27°C low, as historical August averages of 25-26°C have been exceeded under current atmospheric conditions. A stronger localized storm or clearer skies enabling greater heat loss could realistically allow a dip to 26°C before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Chongqing on August 25?
27°C 100.0%
24°C 14%
26°C <1%
21°C or below <1%
$5,699 Vol.
$5,699 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
24°C 14%
26°C <1%
21°C or below <1%
$5,699 Vol.
$5,699 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Persistent subtropical high pressure and residual influence from tropical systems like "Zitan" have sustained elevated overnight temperatures across Chongqing, limiting radiative cooling amid high humidity levels near 70-90% and scattered cloud cover from light showers. Official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Observatory and multiple models indicate nighttime lows stabilizing near 27-29°C on August 25, consistent with recent observations of minima around 27-30°C amid a regional heatwave where daytime highs reached 38-40°C. This supports the market's strong consensus for a 27°C low, as historical August averages of 25-26°C have been exceeded under current atmospheric conditions. A stronger localized storm or clearer skies enabling greater heat loss could realistically allow a dip to 26°C before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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