President Trump’s renewed August 2026 effort to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook over pre-appointment mortgage allegations—following her attorney’s denial of any intentional misconduct—remains the central driver of trader sentiment on the timing of her departure. The Supreme Court’s June 2026 5-4 ruling preserved her position pending lower-court review of “for cause” requirements under the Federal Reserve Act, reinforcing institutional independence and limiting at-will dismissal. This litigation, tied to broader monetary policy tensions, influences expectations around FOMC decisions, Treasury yields, and the Fed funds rate path, as markets assess risks to rate-setting continuity through her term ending in 2038. Further procedural developments or district court rulings could shift implied probabilities ahead of upcoming data releases.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
Nov 30, 2026
September 30
3%
October 31
5%
November 30
7%
December 31
7%
$7,252 Vol.
September 30
$2,406 Vol.
3%
October 31
$2,586 Vol.
5%
November 30
$1,021 Vol.
7%
December 31
$1,240 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.President Trump’s renewed August 2026 effort to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook over pre-appointment mortgage allegations—following her attorney’s denial of any intentional misconduct—remains the central driver of trader sentiment on the timing of her departure. The Supreme Court’s June 2026 5-4 ruling preserved her position pending lower-court review of “for cause” requirements under the Federal Reserve Act, reinforcing institutional independence and limiting at-will dismissal. This litigation, tied to broader monetary policy tensions, influences expectations around FOMC decisions, Treasury yields, and the Fed funds rate path, as markets assess risks to rate-setting continuity through her term ending in 2038. Further procedural developments or district court rulings could shift implied probabilities ahead of upcoming data releases.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
Volume
$7,252End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.President Trump’s renewed August 2026 effort to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook over pre-appointment mortgage allegations—following her attorney’s denial of any intentional misconduct—remains the central driver of trader sentiment on the timing of her departure. The Supreme Court’s June 2026 5-4 ruling preserved her position pending lower-court review of “for cause” requirements under the Federal Reserve Act, reinforcing institutional independence and limiting at-will dismissal. This litigation, tied to broader monetary policy tensions, influences expectations around FOMC decisions, Treasury yields, and the Fed funds rate path, as markets assess risks to rate-setting continuity through her term ending in 2038. Further procedural developments or district court rulings could shift implied probabilities ahead of upcoming data releases.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$7,252End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump’s renewed August 2026 effort to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook over pre-appointment mortgage allegations—following her attorney’s denial of any intentional misconduct—remains the central driver of trader sentiment on the timing of her departure. The Supreme Court’s June 2026 5-4 ruling preserved her position pending lower-court review of “for cause” requirements under the Federal Reserve Act, reinforcing institutional independence and limiting at-will dismissal. This litigation, tied to broader monetary policy tensions, influences expectations around FOMC decisions, Treasury yields, and the Fed funds rate path, as markets assess risks to rate-setting continuity through her term ending in 2038. Further procedural developments or district court rulings could shift implied probabilities ahead of upcoming data releases.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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