Recent July FOMC minutes and the 9-3 hold vote—marking the largest one-way hawkish dissent bloc since 2016—have elevated trader focus on whether two or three officials will again dissent at the September 15-16 meeting amid elevated inflation. July core PCE at 3.3% year-over-year and headline at 3.7%, combined with energy-price volatility from Middle East supply risks, have sustained hawkish pressure from regional presidents such as Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan, who already favored immediate tightening. With the fed-funds target steady at 3.50-3.75% and market-implied odds of a September hike near 40%, the closely matched probabilities around two or three dissents reflect uncertainty over incoming August employment and PCE data, the proximity of midterms, and whether additional governors will join the hawkish minority.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHow many dissent at the September Fed meeting?
How many dissent at the September Fed meeting?
2 47%
3 47%
1 24%
4+ 24%
NEW
NEW
Sep 16, 2026
0
23%
1
24%
2
47%
3
47%
4+
24%
2 47%
3 47%
1 24%
4+ 24%
NEW
NEW
Sep 16, 2026
0
$0 Vol.
23%
1
$0 Vol.
24%
2
$0 Vol.
47%
3
$0 Vol.
47%
4+
$0 Vol.
24%
The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 16, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent July FOMC minutes and the 9-3 hold vote—marking the largest one-way hawkish dissent bloc since 2016—have elevated trader focus on whether two or three officials will again dissent at the September 15-16 meeting amid elevated inflation. July core PCE at 3.3% year-over-year and headline at 3.7%, combined with energy-price volatility from Middle East supply risks, have sustained hawkish pressure from regional presidents such as Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan, who already favored immediate tightening. With the fed-funds target steady at 3.50-3.75% and market-implied odds of a September hike near 40%, the closely matched probabilities around two or three dissents reflect uncertainty over incoming August employment and PCE data, the proximity of midterms, and whether additional governors will join the hawkish minority.
The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 16, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 7:01 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 16, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent July FOMC minutes and the 9-3 hold vote—marking the largest one-way hawkish dissent bloc since 2016—have elevated trader focus on whether two or three officials will again dissent at the September 15-16 meeting amid elevated inflation. July core PCE at 3.3% year-over-year and headline at 3.7%, combined with energy-price volatility from Middle East supply risks, have sustained hawkish pressure from regional presidents such as Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan, who already favored immediate tightening. With the fed-funds target steady at 3.50-3.75% and market-implied odds of a September hike near 40%, the closely matched probabilities around two or three dissents reflect uncertainty over incoming August employment and PCE data, the proximity of midterms, and whether additional governors will join the hawkish minority.
The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 16, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July FOMC minutes and the 9-3 hold vote—marking the largest one-way hawkish dissent bloc since 2016—have elevated trader focus on whether two or three officials will again dissent at the September 15-16 meeting amid elevated inflation. July core PCE at 3.3% year-over-year and headline at 3.7%, combined with energy-price volatility from Middle East supply risks, have sustained hawkish pressure from regional presidents such as Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan, who already favored immediate tightening. With the fed-funds target steady at 3.50-3.75% and market-implied odds of a September hike near 40%, the closely matched probabilities around two or three dissents reflect uncertainty over incoming August employment and PCE data, the proximity of midterms, and whether additional governors will join the hawkish minority.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions