Elevated inflation readings and Middle East supply shocks have kept the federal funds rate steady at 3.50-3.75% through mid-2026, fostering division among FOMC participants under Chair Kevin Warsh. Recent meetings produced three dissents favoring a 25-basis-point hike at the July gathering after a unanimous June hold, reflecting split views on whether rates should rise to combat core PCE inflation projected near 3.3% for year-end. With no forward guidance and a hawkish dot plot showing nine participants favoring hikes by December, trader-implied odds cluster tightly around two to four-plus dissents. Incoming data on inflation, employment, and energy prices through the fall, plus any voting rotation effects, will likely determine whether consensus strengthens or fractures further at the final 2026 meeting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHow many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
2 24.2%
3 22%
4+ 22%
1 16.7%
NEW
NEW
Dec 9, 2026
0
16%
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4+
22%
2 24.2%
3 22%
4+ 22%
1 16.7%
NEW
NEW
Dec 9, 2026
0
$6,187 Vol.
16%
1
$409 Vol.
17%
2
$210 Vol.
24%
3
$244 Vol.
22%
4+
$238 Vol.
22%
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Elevated inflation readings and Middle East supply shocks have kept the federal funds rate steady at 3.50-3.75% through mid-2026, fostering division among FOMC participants under Chair Kevin Warsh. Recent meetings produced three dissents favoring a 25-basis-point hike at the July gathering after a unanimous June hold, reflecting split views on whether rates should rise to combat core PCE inflation projected near 3.3% for year-end. With no forward guidance and a hawkish dot plot showing nine participants favoring hikes by December, trader-implied odds cluster tightly around two to four-plus dissents. Incoming data on inflation, employment, and energy prices through the fall, plus any voting rotation effects, will likely determine whether consensus strengthens or fractures further at the final 2026 meeting.
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ET
Volume
$7,289End Date
Dec 9, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Elevated inflation readings and Middle East supply shocks have kept the federal funds rate steady at 3.50-3.75% through mid-2026, fostering division among FOMC participants under Chair Kevin Warsh. Recent meetings produced three dissents favoring a 25-basis-point hike at the July gathering after a unanimous June hold, reflecting split views on whether rates should rise to combat core PCE inflation projected near 3.3% for year-end. With no forward guidance and a hawkish dot plot showing nine participants favoring hikes by December, trader-implied odds cluster tightly around two to four-plus dissents. Incoming data on inflation, employment, and energy prices through the fall, plus any voting rotation effects, will likely determine whether consensus strengthens or fractures further at the final 2026 meeting.
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$7,289End Date
Dec 9, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elevated inflation readings and Middle East supply shocks have kept the federal funds rate steady at 3.50-3.75% through mid-2026, fostering division among FOMC participants under Chair Kevin Warsh. Recent meetings produced three dissents favoring a 25-basis-point hike at the July gathering after a unanimous June hold, reflecting split views on whether rates should rise to combat core PCE inflation projected near 3.3% for year-end. With no forward guidance and a hawkish dot plot showing nine participants favoring hikes by December, trader-implied odds cluster tightly around two to four-plus dissents. Incoming data on inflation, employment, and energy prices through the fall, plus any voting rotation effects, will likely determine whether consensus strengthens or fractures further at the final 2026 meeting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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