Jerome Powell’s term as a Federal Reserve governor runs until January 31, 2028, following the end of his chairmanship in May 2026 when Kevin Warsh assumed the role. Powell has stated he intends to remain on the Board “for a period of time to be determined,” citing the need to see through an ongoing investigation into the Fed’s headquarters construction project and to address perceived challenges to central bank independence. Market-implied odds reflect trader skepticism about an early exit, with probabilities for departure by late 2026 remaining low amid legal constraints on removal “for cause” and limited near-term catalysts. Key upcoming factors include any resolution of the construction probe or shifts in administration policy that could influence board dynamics before the 2028 expiration.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$436,316 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
18%
$436,316 Vol.
December 31
$149,724 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Jerome Powell’s term as a Federal Reserve governor runs until January 31, 2028, following the end of his chairmanship in May 2026 when Kevin Warsh assumed the role. Powell has stated he intends to remain on the Board “for a period of time to be determined,” citing the need to see through an ongoing investigation into the Fed’s headquarters construction project and to address perceived challenges to central bank independence. Market-implied odds reflect trader skepticism about an early exit, with probabilities for departure by late 2026 remaining low amid legal constraints on removal “for cause” and limited near-term catalysts. Key upcoming factors include any resolution of the construction probe or shifts in administration policy that could influence board dynamics before the 2028 expiration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Market Opened: Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Volume
$436,316End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Jerome Powell’s term as a Federal Reserve governor runs until January 31, 2028, following the end of his chairmanship in May 2026 when Kevin Warsh assumed the role. Powell has stated he intends to remain on the Board “for a period of time to be determined,” citing the need to see through an ongoing investigation into the Fed’s headquarters construction project and to address perceived challenges to central bank independence. Market-implied odds reflect trader skepticism about an early exit, with probabilities for departure by late 2026 remaining low amid legal constraints on removal “for cause” and limited near-term catalysts. Key upcoming factors include any resolution of the construction probe or shifts in administration policy that could influence board dynamics before the 2028 expiration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$436,316End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Jerome Powell’s term as a Federal Reserve governor runs until January 31, 2028, following the end of his chairmanship in May 2026 when Kevin Warsh assumed the role. Powell has stated he intends to remain on the Board “for a period of time to be determined,” citing the need to see through an ongoing investigation into the Fed’s headquarters construction project and to address perceived challenges to central bank independence. Market-implied odds reflect trader skepticism about an early exit, with probabilities for departure by late 2026 remaining low amid legal constraints on removal “for cause” and limited near-term catalysts. Key upcoming factors include any resolution of the construction probe or shifts in administration policy that could influence board dynamics before the 2028 expiration.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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