Elevated inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, driven by tariff effects and prior energy shocks, alongside a stable labor market with unemployment near 4.2% and resilient payroll gains, continues to fuel divisions among FOMC participants over the appropriate policy stance heading into the December 2026 meeting. Recent July deliberations produced a 9-3 vote to hold rates at 3.50-3.75%, with dissents favoring tighter policy, while the June dot plot showed a median federal funds rate projection of 3.8% for year-end 2026. This backdrop of hawkish-leaning consensus tempered by data-dependent risks creates closely matched market-implied probabilities across one to four-plus dissents, reflecting uncertainty over whether incoming CPI, employment, and growth figures will unify the committee or sustain splits seen in prior meetings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHow many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
2 24.2%
3 22%
4+ 22%
1 16.7%
NEW
NEW
Dec 9, 2026
0
16%
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4+
22%
2 24.2%
3 22%
4+ 22%
1 16.7%
NEW
NEW
Dec 9, 2026
0
$6,193 Vol.
16%
1
$409 Vol.
17%
2
$210 Vol.
24%
3
$244 Vol.
22%
4+
$238 Vol.
22%
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Elevated inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, driven by tariff effects and prior energy shocks, alongside a stable labor market with unemployment near 4.2% and resilient payroll gains, continues to fuel divisions among FOMC participants over the appropriate policy stance heading into the December 2026 meeting. Recent July deliberations produced a 9-3 vote to hold rates at 3.50-3.75%, with dissents favoring tighter policy, while the June dot plot showed a median federal funds rate projection of 3.8% for year-end 2026. This backdrop of hawkish-leaning consensus tempered by data-dependent risks creates closely matched market-implied probabilities across one to four-plus dissents, reflecting uncertainty over whether incoming CPI, employment, and growth figures will unify the committee or sustain splits seen in prior meetings.
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ET
Volume
$7,295End Date
Dec 9, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Elevated inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, driven by tariff effects and prior energy shocks, alongside a stable labor market with unemployment near 4.2% and resilient payroll gains, continues to fuel divisions among FOMC participants over the appropriate policy stance heading into the December 2026 meeting. Recent July deliberations produced a 9-3 vote to hold rates at 3.50-3.75%, with dissents favoring tighter policy, while the June dot plot showed a median federal funds rate projection of 3.8% for year-end 2026. This backdrop of hawkish-leaning consensus tempered by data-dependent risks creates closely matched market-implied probabilities across one to four-plus dissents, reflecting uncertainty over whether incoming CPI, employment, and growth figures will unify the committee or sustain splits seen in prior meetings.
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$7,295End Date
Dec 9, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elevated inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, driven by tariff effects and prior energy shocks, alongside a stable labor market with unemployment near 4.2% and resilient payroll gains, continues to fuel divisions among FOMC participants over the appropriate policy stance heading into the December 2026 meeting. Recent July deliberations produced a 9-3 vote to hold rates at 3.50-3.75%, with dissents favoring tighter policy, while the June dot plot showed a median federal funds rate projection of 3.8% for year-end 2026. This backdrop of hawkish-leaning consensus tempered by data-dependent risks creates closely matched market-implied probabilities across one to four-plus dissents, reflecting uncertainty over whether incoming CPI, employment, and growth figures will unify the committee or sustain splits seen in prior meetings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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