**Official meteorological observations for August 25, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of exactly 33°C in Panama City, driving the market's near-certain outcome.** Late-summer atmospheric conditions, including typical subtropical humidity and light winds, supported peak readings in this range according to regional climatology. Station data aligned with model consensus and historical August averages around 31–33°C, leaving minimal room for deviation once the reporting window closed. Only an undetected sensor error or boundary dispute between stations could alter resolution, though cross-verification by monitoring agencies makes such revisions improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on August 25?
Highest temperature in Panama City on August 25?
33°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$28,738 Vol.
$28,738 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$28,738 Vol.
$28,738 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
26°C or below
$3,321 Vol.
No
27°C
$4,249 Vol.
No
28°C
$3,743 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,721 Vol.
No
30°C
$1,890 Vol.
No
31°C
$2,993 Vol.
No
32°C
$5,005 Vol.
No
33°C
$4,025 Vol.
Yes
34°C
$1,295 Vol.
No
35°C
$248 Vol.
No
36°C or higher
$248 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official meteorological observations for August 25, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of exactly 33°C in Panama City, driving the market's near-certain outcome.** Late-summer atmospheric conditions, including typical subtropical humidity and light winds, supported peak readings in this range according to regional climatology. Station data aligned with model consensus and historical August averages around 31–33°C, leaving minimal room for deviation once the reporting window closed. Only an undetected sensor error or boundary dispute between stations could alter resolution, though cross-verification by monitoring agencies makes such revisions improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$28,738End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official meteorological observations for August 25, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of exactly 33°C in Panama City, driving the market's near-certain outcome.** Late-summer atmospheric conditions, including typical subtropical humidity and light winds, supported peak readings in this range according to regional climatology. Station data aligned with model consensus and historical August averages around 31–33°C, leaving minimal room for deviation once the reporting window closed. Only an undetected sensor error or boundary dispute between stations could alter resolution, though cross-verification by monitoring agencies makes such revisions improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$28,738End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
**Official meteorological observations for August 25, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of exactly 33°C in Panama City, driving the market's near-certain outcome.** Late-summer atmospheric conditions, including typical subtropical humidity and light winds, supported peak readings in this range according to regional climatology. Station data aligned with model consensus and historical August averages around 31–33°C, leaving minimal room for deviation once the reporting window closed. Only an undetected sensor error or boundary dispute between stations could alter resolution, though cross-verification by monitoring agencies makes such revisions improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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