The market consensus at 100% for a 31°C high in Hong Kong on August 25 reflects official Observatory measurements confirming that peak temperature amid typical late-summer conditions dominated by subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover. Historical August averages near 30–32°C provide climatological context, while the absence of typhoon influences or monsoon surges kept readings stable within forecast model ranges from the prior day. Traders weighted verified station data over projections, leaving negligible probability for deviations. Only an uncharacteristic instrumentation error or revised boundary definition could shift resolution, both highly improbable given multiple monitoring sites and established protocols.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 25?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 25?
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$150,000 Vol.
$150,000 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$150,000 Vol.
$150,000 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
25°C or below
$269 Vol.
No
26°C
$881 Vol.
No
27°C
$682 Vol.
No
28°C
$9,546 Vol.
No
29°C
$16,174 Vol.
No
30°C
$30,771 Vol.
No
31°C
$29,409 Vol.
Yes
32°C
$22,262 Vol.
No
33°C
$19,807 Vol.
No
34°C
$7,108 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$13,090 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market consensus at 100% for a 31°C high in Hong Kong on August 25 reflects official Observatory measurements confirming that peak temperature amid typical late-summer conditions dominated by subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover. Historical August averages near 30–32°C provide climatological context, while the absence of typhoon influences or monsoon surges kept readings stable within forecast model ranges from the prior day. Traders weighted verified station data over projections, leaving negligible probability for deviations. Only an uncharacteristic instrumentation error or revised boundary definition could shift resolution, both highly improbable given multiple monitoring sites and established protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$150,000End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market consensus at 100% for a 31°C high in Hong Kong on August 25 reflects official Observatory measurements confirming that peak temperature amid typical late-summer conditions dominated by subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover. Historical August averages near 30–32°C provide climatological context, while the absence of typhoon influences or monsoon surges kept readings stable within forecast model ranges from the prior day. Traders weighted verified station data over projections, leaving negligible probability for deviations. Only an uncharacteristic instrumentation error or revised boundary definition could shift resolution, both highly improbable given multiple monitoring sites and established protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$150,000End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The market consensus at 100% for a 31°C high in Hong Kong on August 25 reflects official Observatory measurements confirming that peak temperature amid typical late-summer conditions dominated by subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover. Historical August averages near 30–32°C provide climatological context, while the absence of typhoon influences or monsoon surges kept readings stable within forecast model ranges from the prior day. Traders weighted verified station data over projections, leaving negligible probability for deviations. Only an uncharacteristic instrumentation error or revised boundary definition could shift resolution, both highly improbable given multiple monitoring sites and established protocols.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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