Yoon Suk-yeol remains in detention following multiple convictions tied to his 2024 martial law declaration and related actions. A February 2026 life sentence for insurrection stands alongside a June 30-year term for abuse of power in a drone operation, a Supreme Court-upheld seven-year sentence from July for obstruction of justice, and an additional two-year ruling for illegal receipt of manipulated polls. The August 24 conclusion of a special counsel probe added further indictments against Yoon and dozens of associates on charges including efforts to justify the martial law bid abroad. Appeals continue in several cases, yet the accumulation of finalized and upheld prison terms creates significant structural barriers to release before 2027. Traders’ 92% consensus on “No” reflects these cumulative legal outcomes and the absence of developments that would enable early custody termination.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedYoon out of custody before 2027?
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
8% chance
$201,152 Vol.
$201,152 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
8% chance
$201,152 Vol.
$201,152 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Yoon Suk-yeol remains in detention following multiple convictions tied to his 2024 martial law declaration and related actions. A February 2026 life sentence for insurrection stands alongside a June 30-year term for abuse of power in a drone operation, a Supreme Court-upheld seven-year sentence from July for obstruction of justice, and an additional two-year ruling for illegal receipt of manipulated polls. The August 24 conclusion of a special counsel probe added further indictments against Yoon and dozens of associates on charges including efforts to justify the martial law bid abroad. Appeals continue in several cases, yet the accumulation of finalized and upheld prison terms creates significant structural barriers to release before 2027. Traders’ 92% consensus on “No” reflects these cumulative legal outcomes and the absence of developments that would enable early custody termination.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET
Volume
$201,152End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Yoon Suk-yeol remains in detention following multiple convictions tied to his 2024 martial law declaration and related actions. A February 2026 life sentence for insurrection stands alongside a June 30-year term for abuse of power in a drone operation, a Supreme Court-upheld seven-year sentence from July for obstruction of justice, and an additional two-year ruling for illegal receipt of manipulated polls. The August 24 conclusion of a special counsel probe added further indictments against Yoon and dozens of associates on charges including efforts to justify the martial law bid abroad. Appeals continue in several cases, yet the accumulation of finalized and upheld prison terms creates significant structural barriers to release before 2027. Traders’ 92% consensus on “No” reflects these cumulative legal outcomes and the absence of developments that would enable early custody termination.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$201,152End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Yoon Suk-yeol remains in detention following multiple convictions tied to his 2024 martial law declaration and related actions. A February 2026 life sentence for insurrection stands alongside a June 30-year term for abuse of power in a drone operation, a Supreme Court-upheld seven-year sentence from July for obstruction of justice, and an additional two-year ruling for illegal receipt of manipulated polls. The August 24 conclusion of a special counsel probe added further indictments against Yoon and dozens of associates on charges including efforts to justify the martial law bid abroad. Appeals continue in several cases, yet the accumulation of finalized and upheld prison terms creates significant structural barriers to release before 2027. Traders’ 92% consensus on “No” reflects these cumulative legal outcomes and the absence of developments that would enable early custody termination.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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