Skip to main content
icon for Which countries will host an F1 race in 2026?
World·F1

Which countries will host an F1 race in 2026?

icon for Which countries will host an F1 race in 2026?
World·F1

Which countries will host an F1 race in 2026?

NEW
Dec 30, 2026
Polymarket

$5 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for UAE

UAE

$5 Vol.

48%

icon for Qatar

Qatar

$0 Vol.

47%

icon for Saudi Arabia

Saudi Arabia

$0 Vol.

13%

If an FIA Formula 1 World Championship Grand Prix is held in a listed country between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a race is considered "held" in a country if a Grand Prix that is part of the FIA Formula 1 World Championship takes place at a circuit physically located within the territory of the listed country and an official race classification is published by the FIA. The official name or sponsor title of the Grand Prix will have no bearing on the resolution of this market; only the physical location of the circuit will be considered. Exhibition events, testing sessions, and non-championship races will not count toward a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (https://www.formula1.com/en/results) and the FIA, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.F1’s 2026 calendar has faced repeated adjustments from geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, with the Bahrain and Saudi Arabian Grands Prix canceled earlier in the year and the former relocated to Malaysia’s Sepang circuit in October. Trader consensus currently prices Qatar and the UAE (Abu Dhabi) near even money, reflecting F1 CEO Stefano Domenicali’s recent confirmation that the season finale remains on track pending a mid-September review of regional stability. Saudi Arabia sits lower as no replacement date has been secured. Other notable shifts include the Dutch Grand Prix’s final appearance at Zandvoort, Spain’s move to the new Madring circuit in Madrid alongside Barcelona’s rotational slot, and contracts locking in traditional hosts such as Australia, Japan, and multiple North American venues through at least 2030. These developments shape probabilities around confirmed versus at-risk locations.

If an FIA Formula 1 World Championship Grand Prix is held in a listed country between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a race is considered "held" in a country if a Grand Prix that is part of the FIA Formula 1 World Championship takes place at a circuit physically located within the territory of the listed country and an official race classification is published by the FIA. The official name or sponsor title of the Grand Prix will have no bearing on the resolution of this market; only the physical location of the circuit will be considered. Exhibition events, testing sessions, and non-championship races will not count toward a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (https://www.formula1.com/en/results) and the FIA, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$5
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 6:34 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.formula1.com/en/results

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
If an FIA Formula 1 World Championship Grand Prix is held in a listed country between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a race is considered "held" in a country if a Grand Prix that is part of the FIA Formula 1 World Championship takes place at a circuit physically located within the territory of the listed country and an official race classification is published by the FIA. The official name or sponsor title of the Grand Prix will have no bearing on the resolution of this market; only the physical location of the circuit will be considered. Exhibition events, testing sessions, and non-championship races will not count toward a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (https://www.formula1.com/en/results) and the FIA, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If an FIA Formula 1 World Championship Grand Prix is held in a listed country between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a race is considered "held" in a country if a Grand Prix that is part of the FIA Formula 1 World Championship takes place at a circuit physically located within the territory of the listed country and an official race classification is published by the FIA. The official name or sponsor title of the Grand Prix will have no bearing on the resolution of this market; only the physical location of the circuit will be considered. Exhibition events, testing sessions, and non-championship races will not count toward a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (https://www.formula1.com/en/results) and the FIA, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.F1’s 2026 calendar has faced repeated adjustments from geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, with the Bahrain and Saudi Arabian Grands Prix canceled earlier in the year and the former relocated to Malaysia’s Sepang circuit in October. Trader consensus currently prices Qatar and the UAE (Abu Dhabi) near even money, reflecting F1 CEO Stefano Domenicali’s recent confirmation that the season finale remains on track pending a mid-September review of regional stability. Saudi Arabia sits lower as no replacement date has been secured. Other notable shifts include the Dutch Grand Prix’s final appearance at Zandvoort, Spain’s move to the new Madring circuit in Madrid alongside Barcelona’s rotational slot, and contracts locking in traditional hosts such as Australia, Japan, and multiple North American venues through at least 2030. These developments shape probabilities around confirmed versus at-risk locations.

If an FIA Formula 1 World Championship Grand Prix is held in a listed country between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a race is considered "held" in a country if a Grand Prix that is part of the FIA Formula 1 World Championship takes place at a circuit physically located within the territory of the listed country and an official race classification is published by the FIA. The official name or sponsor title of the Grand Prix will have no bearing on the resolution of this market; only the physical location of the circuit will be considered. Exhibition events, testing sessions, and non-championship races will not count toward a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (https://www.formula1.com/en/results) and the FIA, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$5
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 6:34 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.formula1.com/en/results

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
If an FIA Formula 1 World Championship Grand Prix is held in a listed country between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a race is considered "held" in a country if a Grand Prix that is part of the FIA Formula 1 World Championship takes place at a circuit physically located within the territory of the listed country and an official race classification is published by the FIA. The official name or sponsor title of the Grand Prix will have no bearing on the resolution of this market; only the physical location of the circuit will be considered. Exhibition events, testing sessions, and non-championship races will not count toward a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (https://www.formula1.com/en/results) and the FIA, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Related

icon for Iran successfully targets shipping by August 26, 2026?

Iran successfully targets shipping by August 26, 2026?

50%
icon for Will the Republican Party win the WY-AL House seat?

Will the Republican Party win the WY-AL House seat?

97%
icon for Will Mobile Legends: Bang Bang Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award?

Will Mobile Legends: Bang Bang Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award?

53%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Which countries will host an F1 race in 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "UAE" at 48%, followed by "Qatar" at 47%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 48¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Which countries will host an F1 race in 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 20, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Which countries will host an F1 race in 2026?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which countries will host an F1 race in 2026?" is "UAE" at 48%, meaning the market assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Qatar" at 47%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which countries will host an F1 race in 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.