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Sports·Formula 1

Italian Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position

icon for Italian Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position
Sports·Formula 1

Italian Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position

Kimi Antonelli 40%

Max Verstappen 33%

George Russell 18%

Lando Norris 16%

Polymarket
NEW

Kimi Antonelli 40%

Max Verstappen 33%

George Russell 18%

Lando Norris 16%

Polymarket
NEW

Kimi Antonelli

$39 Vol.

30%

Max Verstappen

$44 Vol.

19%

George Russell

$55 Vol.

23%

Lando Norris

$36 Vol.

19%

Lewis Hamilton

$13 Vol.

11%

Charles Leclerc

$36 Vol.

19%

Oscar Piastri

$0 Vol.

11%

Oliver Bearman

$42 Vol.

5%

Valtteri Bottas

$42 Vol.

5%

Pierre Gasly

$0 Vol.

3%

Fernando Alonso

$0 Vol.

3%

Franco Colapinto

$0 Vol.

3%

Nico Hulkenberg

$0 Vol.

3%

Arvid Lindblad

$0 Vol.

3%

Liam Lawson

$0 Vol.

3%

Isack Hadjar

$0 Vol.

3%

Carlos Sainz Jr.

$43 Vol.

<1%

Lance Stroll

$42 Vol.

<1%

Alexander Albon

$43 Vol.

<1%

Gabriel Bortoleto

$43 Vol.

<1%

Sergio Perez

$43 Vol.

<1%

Esteban Ocon

$43 Vol.

<1%

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 5, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 12, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Kimi Antonelli leads trader consensus for Italian Grand Prix pole at Monza thanks to his dominant 2026 campaign with Mercedes, including multiple poles, six victories, and championship-leading points that reflect superior straight-line pace suited to the Temple of Speed's low-downforce layout. Recent engine allocation changes confirm a grid penalty for the race start, yet this does not alter qualifying, where his teammate George Russell and Ferrari's Charles Leclerc remain close challengers alongside McLaren's Lando Norris and Red Bull's Max Verstappen. The tightly grouped probabilities highlight Monza's emphasis on clean-air speed, tire management in high-speed sectors, and small setup edges that keep several squads within striking distance during single-lap runs. Historical home-race motivation for the Italian driver adds further context to current implied probabilities.

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 5, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 12, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.

For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$567
End Date
Sep 12, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 7:30 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 5, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 12, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 5, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 12, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Kimi Antonelli leads trader consensus for Italian Grand Prix pole at Monza thanks to his dominant 2026 campaign with Mercedes, including multiple poles, six victories, and championship-leading points that reflect superior straight-line pace suited to the Temple of Speed's low-downforce layout. Recent engine allocation changes confirm a grid penalty for the race start, yet this does not alter qualifying, where his teammate George Russell and Ferrari's Charles Leclerc remain close challengers alongside McLaren's Lando Norris and Red Bull's Max Verstappen. The tightly grouped probabilities highlight Monza's emphasis on clean-air speed, tire management in high-speed sectors, and small setup edges that keep several squads within striking distance during single-lap runs. Historical home-race motivation for the Italian driver adds further context to current implied probabilities.

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 5, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 12, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.

For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$567
End Date
Sep 12, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 7:30 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 5, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 12, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid. For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Italian Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kimi Antonelli" at 30%, followed by "George Russell" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 30¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Italian Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 8, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Italian Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Italian Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position" is "Kimi Antonelli" at 30%, meaning the market assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "George Russell" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Italian Grand Prix: Driver Pole Position" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.