South Korean courts have issued cumulative prison sentences against former President Yoon Suk-yeol totaling decades in connection with his December 2024 martial law declaration, including a life term for insurrection, 30 years for a related drone operation, a Supreme Court-upheld seven-year term for obstruction and resisting arrest, and a separate two-year conviction for receiving manipulated polls. These rulings, combined with ongoing appeals and additional indictments from a special counsel probe that concluded on August 24, 2026, have left Yoon in continuous detention since his re-arrest. No presidential pardon, bail grant, or appellate reversal has materialized to alter this trajectory before the market’s December 31, 2026 resolution date, supporting the 92 percent trader consensus that he will remain in custody.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedYoon out of custody before 2027?
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
8% chance
$201,152 Vol.
$201,152 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
8% chance
$201,152 Vol.
$201,152 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Korean courts have issued cumulative prison sentences against former President Yoon Suk-yeol totaling decades in connection with his December 2024 martial law declaration, including a life term for insurrection, 30 years for a related drone operation, a Supreme Court-upheld seven-year term for obstruction and resisting arrest, and a separate two-year conviction for receiving manipulated polls. These rulings, combined with ongoing appeals and additional indictments from a special counsel probe that concluded on August 24, 2026, have left Yoon in continuous detention since his re-arrest. No presidential pardon, bail grant, or appellate reversal has materialized to alter this trajectory before the market’s December 31, 2026 resolution date, supporting the 92 percent trader consensus that he will remain in custody.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET
Volume
$201,152End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Korean courts have issued cumulative prison sentences against former President Yoon Suk-yeol totaling decades in connection with his December 2024 martial law declaration, including a life term for insurrection, 30 years for a related drone operation, a Supreme Court-upheld seven-year term for obstruction and resisting arrest, and a separate two-year conviction for receiving manipulated polls. These rulings, combined with ongoing appeals and additional indictments from a special counsel probe that concluded on August 24, 2026, have left Yoon in continuous detention since his re-arrest. No presidential pardon, bail grant, or appellate reversal has materialized to alter this trajectory before the market’s December 31, 2026 resolution date, supporting the 92 percent trader consensus that he will remain in custody.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$201,152End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...South Korean courts have issued cumulative prison sentences against former President Yoon Suk-yeol totaling decades in connection with his December 2024 martial law declaration, including a life term for insurrection, 30 years for a related drone operation, a Supreme Court-upheld seven-year term for obstruction and resisting arrest, and a separate two-year conviction for receiving manipulated polls. These rulings, combined with ongoing appeals and additional indictments from a special counsel probe that concluded on August 24, 2026, have left Yoon in continuous detention since his re-arrest. No presidential pardon, bail grant, or appellate reversal has materialized to alter this trajectory before the market’s December 31, 2026 resolution date, supporting the 92 percent trader consensus that he will remain in custody.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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