María Corina Machado, the Venezuelan opposition leader and 2025 Nobel Peace Prize recipient, remains outside the country as of late August 2026 following her secret departure in December 2025. She has repeatedly signaled intent to return before year-end to participate in the post-Maduro transition under interim President Delcy Rodríguez and to aid quake recovery efforts after June 2026 earthquakes. Multiple attempted entries via Curaçao in late June were aborted after the Trump administration signaled opposition, citing risks of unrest or clashes with Venezuelan security forces during the humanitarian crisis. The Venezuelan government has closed airspace and imposed other barriers, while formal opposition-regime talks launched in August have proceeded without Machado in a lead role. These political, security, and diplomatic constraints continue to shape assessments of near-term reentry feasibility.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMaría Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
$6,412,038 Vol.

August 31
1%

September 30
8%

December 31
25%
$6,412,038 Vol.

August 31
1%

September 30
8%

December 31
25%
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jul 28, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...María Corina Machado, the Venezuelan opposition leader and 2025 Nobel Peace Prize recipient, remains outside the country as of late August 2026 following her secret departure in December 2025. She has repeatedly signaled intent to return before year-end to participate in the post-Maduro transition under interim President Delcy Rodríguez and to aid quake recovery efforts after June 2026 earthquakes. Multiple attempted entries via Curaçao in late June were aborted after the Trump administration signaled opposition, citing risks of unrest or clashes with Venezuelan security forces during the humanitarian crisis. The Venezuelan government has closed airspace and imposed other barriers, while formal opposition-regime talks launched in August have proceeded without Machado in a lead role. These political, security, and diplomatic constraints continue to shape assessments of near-term reentry feasibility.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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