Wisconsin’s 8th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat, reflected in its R+8 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Safe or Solid Republican ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Incumbent Representative Tony Wied, first elected in 2024, advanced unopposed through the Republican primary and benefits from the district’s northeastern Wisconsin geography encompassing Green Bay and Appleton. On the Democratic side, Rick Crosson narrowly won the August 11, 2026 primary against two challengers, setting up a November 3 general-election matchup. Historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive Republican opposition reinforce trader consensus around an 87.5% implied probability for the Republican nominee.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWI-08 House Election Winner
WI-08 House Election Winner
$15,583 Vol.
$15,583 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
88%
Democratic Party
14%
$15,583 Vol.
$15,583 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$9,435 Vol.
88%
Democratic Party
$6,148 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin’s 8th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat, reflected in its R+8 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Safe or Solid Republican ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Incumbent Representative Tony Wied, first elected in 2024, advanced unopposed through the Republican primary and benefits from the district’s northeastern Wisconsin geography encompassing Green Bay and Appleton. On the Democratic side, Rick Crosson narrowly won the August 11, 2026 primary against two challengers, setting up a November 3 general-election matchup. Historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive Republican opposition reinforce trader consensus around an 87.5% implied probability for the Republican nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$15,583End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin’s 8th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat, reflected in its R+8 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Safe or Solid Republican ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Incumbent Representative Tony Wied, first elected in 2024, advanced unopposed through the Republican primary and benefits from the district’s northeastern Wisconsin geography encompassing Green Bay and Appleton. On the Democratic side, Rick Crosson narrowly won the August 11, 2026 primary against two challengers, setting up a November 3 general-election matchup. Historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive Republican opposition reinforce trader consensus around an 87.5% implied probability for the Republican nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$15,583End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wisconsin’s 8th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat, reflected in its R+8 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Safe or Solid Republican ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Incumbent Representative Tony Wied, first elected in 2024, advanced unopposed through the Republican primary and benefits from the district’s northeastern Wisconsin geography encompassing Green Bay and Appleton. On the Democratic side, Rick Crosson narrowly won the August 11, 2026 primary against two challengers, setting up a November 3 general-election matchup. Historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive Republican opposition reinforce trader consensus around an 87.5% implied probability for the Republican nominee.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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