Incumbent Republican Glenn Grothman faces Democratic nominee Bradley Smith, Green candidate Matthew Arndt, and independents including Mike Thurow in the November 3 general election for Wisconsin’s 6th congressional district. The district’s R+8 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Republican or Safe Republican ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball underpin the 87.5% Republican consensus. Grothman’s unopposed primary advance, substantial fundraising lead, and cash on hand provide structural advantages, while the August 11 Democratic primary’s narrow Smith victory over Amanda Bell has not shifted the race’s fundamentals. Independent and third-party candidacies remain marginal factors in the current pricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWI-06 House Election Winner
WI-06 House Election Winner
$30,896 Vol.
$30,896 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
88%
Democratic Party
11%
$30,896 Vol.
$30,896 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$16,929 Vol.
88%
Democratic Party
$13,967 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Glenn Grothman faces Democratic nominee Bradley Smith, Green candidate Matthew Arndt, and independents including Mike Thurow in the November 3 general election for Wisconsin’s 6th congressional district. The district’s R+8 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Republican or Safe Republican ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball underpin the 87.5% Republican consensus. Grothman’s unopposed primary advance, substantial fundraising lead, and cash on hand provide structural advantages, while the August 11 Democratic primary’s narrow Smith victory over Amanda Bell has not shifted the race’s fundamentals. Independent and third-party candidacies remain marginal factors in the current pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$30,896End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Glenn Grothman faces Democratic nominee Bradley Smith, Green candidate Matthew Arndt, and independents including Mike Thurow in the November 3 general election for Wisconsin’s 6th congressional district. The district’s R+8 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Republican or Safe Republican ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball underpin the 87.5% Republican consensus. Grothman’s unopposed primary advance, substantial fundraising lead, and cash on hand provide structural advantages, while the August 11 Democratic primary’s narrow Smith victory over Amanda Bell has not shifted the race’s fundamentals. Independent and third-party candidacies remain marginal factors in the current pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$30,896End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Glenn Grothman faces Democratic nominee Bradley Smith, Green candidate Matthew Arndt, and independents including Mike Thurow in the November 3 general election for Wisconsin’s 6th congressional district. The district’s R+8 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Republican or Safe Republican ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball underpin the 87.5% Republican consensus. Grothman’s unopposed primary advance, substantial fundraising lead, and cash on hand provide structural advantages, while the August 11 Democratic primary’s narrow Smith victory over Amanda Bell has not shifted the race’s fundamentals. Independent and third-party candidacies remain marginal factors in the current pricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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