Virginia's 3rd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18, anchoring trader consensus around a Democratic hold. Longtime incumbent Bobby Scott secured the nomination after the August 2026 Democratic primary was canceled, while Republican Edwin Rivera emerged from a limited field. Race raters across outlets classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the seat's recent 70-point margins and limited fundraising or polling activity on the Republican side. The November 3 general election timeline leaves little room for shifts absent major late developments such as an incumbent health issue, unforeseen scandal, or national political realignment that overrides local partisan fundamentals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedVA-03 House Election Winner
VA-03 House Election Winner
$60,681 Vol.
$60,681 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
2%
$60,681 Vol.
$60,681 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$21,556 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$39,125 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 3rd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18, anchoring trader consensus around a Democratic hold. Longtime incumbent Bobby Scott secured the nomination after the August 2026 Democratic primary was canceled, while Republican Edwin Rivera emerged from a limited field. Race raters across outlets classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the seat's recent 70-point margins and limited fundraising or polling activity on the Republican side. The November 3 general election timeline leaves little room for shifts absent major late developments such as an incumbent health issue, unforeseen scandal, or national political realignment that overrides local partisan fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$60,681End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 3rd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18, anchoring trader consensus around a Democratic hold. Longtime incumbent Bobby Scott secured the nomination after the August 2026 Democratic primary was canceled, while Republican Edwin Rivera emerged from a limited field. Race raters across outlets classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the seat's recent 70-point margins and limited fundraising or polling activity on the Republican side. The November 3 general election timeline leaves little room for shifts absent major late developments such as an incumbent health issue, unforeseen scandal, or national political realignment that overrides local partisan fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$60,681End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 3rd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18, anchoring trader consensus around a Democratic hold. Longtime incumbent Bobby Scott secured the nomination after the August 2026 Democratic primary was canceled, while Republican Edwin Rivera emerged from a limited field. Race raters across outlets classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the seat's recent 70-point margins and limited fundraising or polling activity on the Republican side. The November 3 general election timeline leaves little room for shifts absent major late developments such as an incumbent health issue, unforeseen scandal, or national political realignment that overrides local partisan fundamentals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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