Official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau and supporting models project a daily minimum of 26°C on August 26, 2026, under continued subtropical high pressure with nighttime readings near 26–28°C and only scattered showers in southern districts unlikely to drive further cooling. Multiple real-time sources, including historical analogs and current observations, align on this threshold rather than the 22–25°C or 27–32°C alternatives. The near-certain market outcome reflects this consensus backed by skin-in-the-game trader assessment of stable atmospheric conditions. Only an unexpected model revision, localized microclimate effect at official stations, or post-sunset measurement error could realistically alter resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Chongqing on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Chongqing on August 26?
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$17,594 Vol.
$17,594 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$17,594 Vol.
$17,594 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
$165 Vol.
No
23°C
$38 Vol.
No
24°C
$445 Vol.
No
25°C
$122 Vol.
No
26°C
$525 Vol.
Yes
27°C
$1,239 Vol.
No
28°C
$183 Vol.
No
29°C
$13,312 Vol.
No
30°C
$155 Vol.
No
31°C
$985 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$426 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau and supporting models project a daily minimum of 26°C on August 26, 2026, under continued subtropical high pressure with nighttime readings near 26–28°C and only scattered showers in southern districts unlikely to drive further cooling. Multiple real-time sources, including historical analogs and current observations, align on this threshold rather than the 22–25°C or 27–32°C alternatives. The near-certain market outcome reflects this consensus backed by skin-in-the-game trader assessment of stable atmospheric conditions. Only an unexpected model revision, localized microclimate effect at official stations, or post-sunset measurement error could realistically alter resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$17,594End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau and supporting models project a daily minimum of 26°C on August 26, 2026, under continued subtropical high pressure with nighttime readings near 26–28°C and only scattered showers in southern districts unlikely to drive further cooling. Multiple real-time sources, including historical analogs and current observations, align on this threshold rather than the 22–25°C or 27–32°C alternatives. The near-certain market outcome reflects this consensus backed by skin-in-the-game trader assessment of stable atmospheric conditions. Only an unexpected model revision, localized microclimate effect at official stations, or post-sunset measurement error could realistically alter resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,594End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau and supporting models project a daily minimum of 26°C on August 26, 2026, under continued subtropical high pressure with nighttime readings near 26–28°C and only scattered showers in southern districts unlikely to drive further cooling. Multiple real-time sources, including historical analogs and current observations, align on this threshold rather than the 22–25°C or 27–32°C alternatives. The near-certain market outcome reflects this consensus backed by skin-in-the-game trader assessment of stable atmospheric conditions. Only an unexpected model revision, localized microclimate effect at official stations, or post-sunset measurement error could realistically alter resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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