Recent White House efforts to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, citing unproven 2021 mortgage application discrepancies, have renewed focus on presidential removal authority under the Federal Reserve Act's "for cause" standard. The Supreme Court's 5-4 June 2026 ruling blocked an initial attempt on procedural grounds, affirming Fed independence while allowing future action with proper notice and response opportunities. Cook's August 2026 rebuttal emphasized the absence of intentional misconduct or charges, with her 14-year term extending to 2038. This dynamic underscores market-implied odds reflecting legal barriers, potential prolonged litigation, and the central bank's insulation from political pressure on monetary policy, with resolution hinging on forthcoming administrative or judicial steps.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
Dec 31, 2026
September 30
2%
October 31
2%
November 30
8%
December 31
7%
$5,063 Vol.
September 30
$1,356 Vol.
2%
October 31
$1,446 Vol.
2%
November 30
$1,021 Vol.
8%
December 31
$1,240 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Recent White House efforts to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, citing unproven 2021 mortgage application discrepancies, have renewed focus on presidential removal authority under the Federal Reserve Act's "for cause" standard. The Supreme Court's 5-4 June 2026 ruling blocked an initial attempt on procedural grounds, affirming Fed independence while allowing future action with proper notice and response opportunities. Cook's August 2026 rebuttal emphasized the absence of intentional misconduct or charges, with her 14-year term extending to 2038. This dynamic underscores market-implied odds reflecting legal barriers, potential prolonged litigation, and the central bank's insulation from political pressure on monetary policy, with resolution hinging on forthcoming administrative or judicial steps.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
Volume
$5,063End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Recent White House efforts to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, citing unproven 2021 mortgage application discrepancies, have renewed focus on presidential removal authority under the Federal Reserve Act's "for cause" standard. The Supreme Court's 5-4 June 2026 ruling blocked an initial attempt on procedural grounds, affirming Fed independence while allowing future action with proper notice and response opportunities. Cook's August 2026 rebuttal emphasized the absence of intentional misconduct or charges, with her 14-year term extending to 2038. This dynamic underscores market-implied odds reflecting legal barriers, potential prolonged litigation, and the central bank's insulation from political pressure on monetary policy, with resolution hinging on forthcoming administrative or judicial steps.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$5,063End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent White House efforts to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, citing unproven 2021 mortgage application discrepancies, have renewed focus on presidential removal authority under the Federal Reserve Act's "for cause" standard. The Supreme Court's 5-4 June 2026 ruling blocked an initial attempt on procedural grounds, affirming Fed independence while allowing future action with proper notice and response opportunities. Cook's August 2026 rebuttal emphasized the absence of intentional misconduct or charges, with her 14-year term extending to 2038. This dynamic underscores market-implied odds reflecting legal barriers, potential prolonged litigation, and the central bank's insulation from political pressure on monetary policy, with resolution hinging on forthcoming administrative or judicial steps.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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