Recent forecasts from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate persistent overcast skies, widespread cloud cover, and a high probability of rain or thunderstorms across Incheon and Seoul on August 31, which limits solar insolation and favors maximum temperatures near 24–26 °C. These conditions stem from a frontal boundary enhancing moisture and reducing diurnal heating compared with clearer late-August norms. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched probabilities for 25 °C and 26 °C captures uncertainty in exact cloud timing, precipitation intensity, and any brief clearing that could allow brief warming above 26 °C. Lower outcomes would require heavier or prolonged rainfall and stronger northeasterly flow, while higher readings hinge on reduced cloud fraction. Official model updates expected over the next 48 hours will further refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 31?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 31?
26°C 31%
25°C 27%
24°C 22%
27°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
6%
22°C
5%
23°C
4%
24°C
16%
25°C
27%
26°C
31%
27°C
16%
28°C
4%
29°C or higher
3%
26°C 31%
25°C 27%
24°C 22%
27°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
19°C or below
$261 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$261 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$0 Vol.
6%
22°C
$0 Vol.
5%
23°C
$14 Vol.
4%
24°C
$148 Vol.
16%
25°C
$228 Vol.
27%
26°C
$42 Vol.
31%
27°C
$397 Vol.
16%
28°C
$373 Vol.
4%
29°C or higher
$171 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate persistent overcast skies, widespread cloud cover, and a high probability of rain or thunderstorms across Incheon and Seoul on August 31, which limits solar insolation and favors maximum temperatures near 24–26 °C. These conditions stem from a frontal boundary enhancing moisture and reducing diurnal heating compared with clearer late-August norms. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched probabilities for 25 °C and 26 °C captures uncertainty in exact cloud timing, precipitation intensity, and any brief clearing that could allow brief warming above 26 °C. Lower outcomes would require heavier or prolonged rainfall and stronger northeasterly flow, while higher readings hinge on reduced cloud fraction. Official model updates expected over the next 48 hours will further refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,895End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate persistent overcast skies, widespread cloud cover, and a high probability of rain or thunderstorms across Incheon and Seoul on August 31, which limits solar insolation and favors maximum temperatures near 24–26 °C. These conditions stem from a frontal boundary enhancing moisture and reducing diurnal heating compared with clearer late-August norms. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched probabilities for 25 °C and 26 °C captures uncertainty in exact cloud timing, precipitation intensity, and any brief clearing that could allow brief warming above 26 °C. Lower outcomes would require heavier or prolonged rainfall and stronger northeasterly flow, while higher readings hinge on reduced cloud fraction. Official model updates expected over the next 48 hours will further refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,895End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate persistent overcast skies, widespread cloud cover, and a high probability of rain or thunderstorms across Incheon and Seoul on August 31, which limits solar insolation and favors maximum temperatures near 24–26 °C. These conditions stem from a frontal boundary enhancing moisture and reducing diurnal heating compared with clearer late-August norms. Trader consensus reflected in the closely matched probabilities for 25 °C and 26 °C captures uncertainty in exact cloud timing, precipitation intensity, and any brief clearing that could allow brief warming above 26 °C. Lower outcomes would require heavier or prolonged rainfall and stronger northeasterly flow, while higher readings hinge on reduced cloud fraction. Official model updates expected over the next 48 hours will further refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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