Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a cloudy, rainy pattern over Incheon on August 31 with northeasterly winds and high humidity, supporting overnight lows near 22–23 °C. Recent observations show moderating temperatures after warmer, more humid conditions earlier in the week, consistent with seasonal late-August cooling and reduced solar heating under overcast skies. Ensemble guidance places the daily minimum most likely between 21–24 °C, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 22 °C. Traders appear to be pricing in limited upside risk from model spread or unexpected clearing, given the stable steering pattern and proximity to resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 31?
22°C 48%
23°C 31%
19°C 15%
21°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
18°C or below
4%
19°C
15%
20°C
11%
21°C
15%
22°C
48%
23°C
31%
24°C
12%
25°C
7%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
22°C 48%
23°C 31%
19°C 15%
21°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
18°C or below
$0 Vol.
4%
19°C
$0 Vol.
15%
20°C
$20 Vol.
11%
21°C
$0 Vol.
15%
22°C
$57 Vol.
48%
23°C
$130 Vol.
31%
24°C
$33 Vol.
12%
25°C
$0 Vol.
7%
26°C
$0 Vol.
2%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a cloudy, rainy pattern over Incheon on August 31 with northeasterly winds and high humidity, supporting overnight lows near 22–23 °C. Recent observations show moderating temperatures after warmer, more humid conditions earlier in the week, consistent with seasonal late-August cooling and reduced solar heating under overcast skies. Ensemble guidance places the daily minimum most likely between 21–24 °C, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 22 °C. Traders appear to be pricing in limited upside risk from model spread or unexpected clearing, given the stable steering pattern and proximity to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$240End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a cloudy, rainy pattern over Incheon on August 31 with northeasterly winds and high humidity, supporting overnight lows near 22–23 °C. Recent observations show moderating temperatures after warmer, more humid conditions earlier in the week, consistent with seasonal late-August cooling and reduced solar heating under overcast skies. Ensemble guidance places the daily minimum most likely between 21–24 °C, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 22 °C. Traders appear to be pricing in limited upside risk from model spread or unexpected clearing, given the stable steering pattern and proximity to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$240End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a cloudy, rainy pattern over Incheon on August 31 with northeasterly winds and high humidity, supporting overnight lows near 22–23 °C. Recent observations show moderating temperatures after warmer, more humid conditions earlier in the week, consistent with seasonal late-August cooling and reduced solar heating under overcast skies. Ensemble guidance places the daily minimum most likely between 21–24 °C, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 22 °C. Traders appear to be pricing in limited upside risk from model spread or unexpected clearing, given the stable steering pattern and proximity to resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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