Guinea-Bissau’s 6 December 2026 legislative election occurs amid a fragile post-coup transition under military authorities, with a 30 August constitutional referendum on shifting to a stronger presidential system still pending. This institutional uncertainty, combined with the country’s history of dissolved parliaments, contested results, and frequent realignments among small parties, keeps the contest fragmented under list proportional representation for 102 seats. Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” and FREPASNA lead trader pricing because each draws from prior coalitions and military-era networks, yet neither has secured a decisive advantage. Further separation will likely hinge on referendum outcomes, new alliances, candidate confirmations, or ECOWAS-mediated steps that clarify the rules and power-sharing arrangements before voting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedGuinea-Bissau National People's Assembly Election Winner
Guinea-Bissau National People's Assembly Election Winner
FREPASNA 8.3%
PT 4.6%
FLING 4.5%
PS 4.1%
$157,294 Vol.
$157,294 Vol.
Nov 22, 2025
FREPASNA
22%
PT
5%
FLING
4%
PS
4%
MUNDO-GB
3%
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”
31%
FREPASNA 8.3%
PT 4.6%
FLING 4.5%
PS 4.1%
$157,294 Vol.
$157,294 Vol.
Nov 22, 2025
FREPASNA
$26,687 Vol.
22%
PT
$21,830 Vol.
5%
FLING
$12,912 Vol.
4%
PS
$25,146 Vol.
4%
MUNDO-GB
$22,864 Vol.
3%
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”
$47,855 Vol.
31%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Guinea-Bissau’s 6 December 2026 legislative election occurs amid a fragile post-coup transition under military authorities, with a 30 August constitutional referendum on shifting to a stronger presidential system still pending. This institutional uncertainty, combined with the country’s history of dissolved parliaments, contested results, and frequent realignments among small parties, keeps the contest fragmented under list proportional representation for 102 seats. Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” and FREPASNA lead trader pricing because each draws from prior coalitions and military-era networks, yet neither has secured a decisive advantage. Further separation will likely hinge on referendum outcomes, new alliances, candidate confirmations, or ECOWAS-mediated steps that clarify the rules and power-sharing arrangements before voting.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Market Opened: Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ET
Volume
$157,294End Date
Nov 23, 2025Market Opened
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Guinea-Bissau’s 6 December 2026 legislative election occurs amid a fragile post-coup transition under military authorities, with a 30 August constitutional referendum on shifting to a stronger presidential system still pending. This institutional uncertainty, combined with the country’s history of dissolved parliaments, contested results, and frequent realignments among small parties, keeps the contest fragmented under list proportional representation for 102 seats. Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” and FREPASNA lead trader pricing because each draws from prior coalitions and military-era networks, yet neither has secured a decisive advantage. Further separation will likely hinge on referendum outcomes, new alliances, candidate confirmations, or ECOWAS-mediated steps that clarify the rules and power-sharing arrangements before voting.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Volume
$157,294End Date
Nov 23, 2025Market Opened
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Guinea-Bissau’s 6 December 2026 legislative election occurs amid a fragile post-coup transition under military authorities, with a 30 August constitutional referendum on shifting to a stronger presidential system still pending. This institutional uncertainty, combined with the country’s history of dissolved parliaments, contested results, and frequent realignments among small parties, keeps the contest fragmented under list proportional representation for 102 seats. Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” and FREPASNA lead trader pricing because each draws from prior coalitions and military-era networks, yet neither has secured a decisive advantage. Further separation will likely hinge on referendum outcomes, new alliances, candidate confirmations, or ECOWAS-mediated steps that clarify the rules and power-sharing arrangements before voting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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