São Tomé and Príncipe’s parliamentary election on September 27 will fill all 55 National Assembly seats under proportional representation, with 28 needed for a majority. Trader pricing favors MLSTP at 64.5% implied probability after incumbent President Carlos Vila Nova, backed by an MLSTP–PSD alliance, secured re-election on July 19 with roughly 56% of the vote against the main ADI-backed challenger at 41%. This result followed the 2025 dismissal of ADI Prime Minister Patrice Trovoada, which triggered internal ADI divisions and the appointment of a replacement from the same party. ADI sits at 24.5% amid those fractures, while smaller parties remain at or below 1.1%. The short campaign window and recent presidential momentum continue to shape crowd-sourced assessments ahead of polling day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSão Tomé and Príncipe Parliamentary Election Winner
São Tomé and Príncipe Parliamentary Election Winner
MLSTP 64%
ADI 19%
Basta 1.1%
PCD <1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 26, 2026
MLSTP
64%
ADI
20%
Basta
1%
PCD
1%
MDFM
1%
MCI-PS/PUN
<1%
Nossa Terra
<1%
MLSTP 64%
ADI 19%
Basta 1.1%
PCD <1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 26, 2026
MLSTP
$4,084 Vol.
64%
ADI
$3,074 Vol.
20%
Basta
$392 Vol.
1%
PCD
$392 Vol.
1%
MDFM
$412 Vol.
1%
MCI-PS/PUN
$381 Vol.
<1%
Nossa Terra
$381 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe are scheduled to take place on September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the São Toméan government.São Tomé and Príncipe’s parliamentary election on September 27 will fill all 55 National Assembly seats under proportional representation, with 28 needed for a majority. Trader pricing favors MLSTP at 64.5% implied probability after incumbent President Carlos Vila Nova, backed by an MLSTP–PSD alliance, secured re-election on July 19 with roughly 56% of the vote against the main ADI-backed challenger at 41%. This result followed the 2025 dismissal of ADI Prime Minister Patrice Trovoada, which triggered internal ADI divisions and the appointment of a replacement from the same party. ADI sits at 24.5% amid those fractures, while smaller parties remain at or below 1.1%. The short campaign window and recent presidential momentum continue to shape crowd-sourced assessments ahead of polling day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe are scheduled to take place on September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the São Toméan government.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the São Toméan government.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 5:45 AM ET
Volume
$9,115End Date
Sep 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 5:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe are scheduled to take place on September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the São Toméan government.São Tomé and Príncipe’s parliamentary election on September 27 will fill all 55 National Assembly seats under proportional representation, with 28 needed for a majority. Trader pricing favors MLSTP at 64.5% implied probability after incumbent President Carlos Vila Nova, backed by an MLSTP–PSD alliance, secured re-election on July 19 with roughly 56% of the vote against the main ADI-backed challenger at 41%. This result followed the 2025 dismissal of ADI Prime Minister Patrice Trovoada, which triggered internal ADI divisions and the appointment of a replacement from the same party. ADI sits at 24.5% amid those fractures, while smaller parties remain at or below 1.1%. The short campaign window and recent presidential momentum continue to shape crowd-sourced assessments ahead of polling day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe are scheduled to take place on September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the São Toméan government.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the São Toméan government.
Volume
$9,115End Date
Sep 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 5:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...São Tomé and Príncipe’s parliamentary election on September 27 will fill all 55 National Assembly seats under proportional representation, with 28 needed for a majority. Trader pricing favors MLSTP at 64.5% implied probability after incumbent President Carlos Vila Nova, backed by an MLSTP–PSD alliance, secured re-election on July 19 with roughly 56% of the vote against the main ADI-backed challenger at 41%. This result followed the 2025 dismissal of ADI Prime Minister Patrice Trovoada, which triggered internal ADI divisions and the appointment of a replacement from the same party. ADI sits at 24.5% amid those fractures, while smaller parties remain at or below 1.1%. The short campaign window and recent presidential momentum continue to shape crowd-sourced assessments ahead of polling day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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