Elon Musk’s recent posting pace, including a settled 40-64 range for the prior period ending August 24, anchors trader expectations for moderate volume across the August 24-26 window. With roughly 17-27 posts per day implied by the leading 65-89 bucket at 41.5% implied probability, markets reflect his baseline activity when focused on product updates rather than major controversies. Ongoing threads promoting Grok Bot capabilities, Grok Voice at Starlink scale, and fertility discussions have sustained steady engagement without triggering the higher daily bursts seen in prior 90-114 or 160-plus periods. The three-day format through August 26 resolution leaves limited room for late surges, keeping 40-64 as the clear secondary outcome at 30.5% while higher ranges trade at single-digit odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated65-89 43%
40-64 31%
90-114 19.1%
115-139 5.9%
$75,664 Vol.
$75,664 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
<40
2%
40-64
31%
65-89
43%
90-114
19%
115-139
6%
140-164
2%
165-189
<1%
190-214
1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 43%
40-64 31%
90-114 19.1%
115-139 5.9%
$75,664 Vol.
$75,664 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
<40
$17,525 Vol.
2%
40-64
$9,555 Vol.
31%
65-89
$8,315 Vol.
43%
90-114
$7,386 Vol.
19%
115-139
$10,114 Vol.
6%
140-164
$5,183 Vol.
2%
165-189
$3,586 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$8,805 Vol.
1%
215-239
$1,672 Vol.
<1%
240+
$3,522 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 24 12:00 PM ET to August 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s recent posting pace, including a settled 40-64 range for the prior period ending August 24, anchors trader expectations for moderate volume across the August 24-26 window. With roughly 17-27 posts per day implied by the leading 65-89 bucket at 41.5% implied probability, markets reflect his baseline activity when focused on product updates rather than major controversies. Ongoing threads promoting Grok Bot capabilities, Grok Voice at Starlink scale, and fertility discussions have sustained steady engagement without triggering the higher daily bursts seen in prior 90-114 or 160-plus periods. The three-day format through August 26 resolution leaves limited room for late surges, keeping 40-64 as the clear secondary outcome at 30.5% while higher ranges trade at single-digit odds.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 24 12:00 PM ET to August 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$75,664End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 24 12:00 PM ET to August 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s recent posting pace, including a settled 40-64 range for the prior period ending August 24, anchors trader expectations for moderate volume across the August 24-26 window. With roughly 17-27 posts per day implied by the leading 65-89 bucket at 41.5% implied probability, markets reflect his baseline activity when focused on product updates rather than major controversies. Ongoing threads promoting Grok Bot capabilities, Grok Voice at Starlink scale, and fertility discussions have sustained steady engagement without triggering the higher daily bursts seen in prior 90-114 or 160-plus periods. The three-day format through August 26 resolution leaves limited room for late surges, keeping 40-64 as the clear secondary outcome at 30.5% while higher ranges trade at single-digit odds.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 24 12:00 PM ET to August 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$75,664End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s recent posting pace, including a settled 40-64 range for the prior period ending August 24, anchors trader expectations for moderate volume across the August 24-26 window. With roughly 17-27 posts per day implied by the leading 65-89 bucket at 41.5% implied probability, markets reflect his baseline activity when focused on product updates rather than major controversies. Ongoing threads promoting Grok Bot capabilities, Grok Voice at Starlink scale, and fertility discussions have sustained steady engagement without triggering the higher daily bursts seen in prior 90-114 or 160-plus periods. The three-day format through August 26 resolution leaves limited room for late surges, keeping 40-64 as the clear secondary outcome at 30.5% while higher ranges trade at single-digit odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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