Recent trader consensus for Elon Musk’s X activity over August 27–29 centers on the 40–64 range (45.5% implied probability) because his observed posting frequency has stabilized near 17 posts per day in the latest tracked seven-day window, projecting roughly 51 total for the three-day span when excluding replies. The adjacent 65–89 bucket (32.5%) captures upside variance during active periods, while sub-40 remains a lower-probability scenario absent major news catalysts. No high-profile events or platform-wide developments are scheduled that weekend to drive atypical volume spikes, keeping probabilities anchored to Musk’s baseline rhythm of commentary, reposts, and engagement rather than election-style surges seen in prior cycles.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedElon Musk # tweets August 27 - August 29, 2026?
Elon Musk # tweets August 27 - August 29, 2026?
40-64 40%
65-89 33%
<40 14%
90-114 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
<40
14%
40-64
40%
65-89
33%
90-114
10%
115-139
3%
140-164
2%
165-189
1%
190-214
1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 40%
65-89 33%
<40 14%
90-114 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
<40
$453 Vol.
14%
40-64
$1,055 Vol.
40%
65-89
$1,235 Vol.
33%
90-114
$120 Vol.
10%
115-139
$927 Vol.
3%
140-164
$405 Vol.
2%
165-189
$55 Vol.
1%
190-214
$85 Vol.
1%
215-239
$746 Vol.
<1%
240+
$752 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 27 12:00 PM ET to August 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent trader consensus for Elon Musk’s X activity over August 27–29 centers on the 40–64 range (45.5% implied probability) because his observed posting frequency has stabilized near 17 posts per day in the latest tracked seven-day window, projecting roughly 51 total for the three-day span when excluding replies. The adjacent 65–89 bucket (32.5%) captures upside variance during active periods, while sub-40 remains a lower-probability scenario absent major news catalysts. No high-profile events or platform-wide developments are scheduled that weekend to drive atypical volume spikes, keeping probabilities anchored to Musk’s baseline rhythm of commentary, reposts, and engagement rather than election-style surges seen in prior cycles.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 27 12:00 PM ET to August 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$5,833End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 27 12:00 PM ET to August 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent trader consensus for Elon Musk’s X activity over August 27–29 centers on the 40–64 range (45.5% implied probability) because his observed posting frequency has stabilized near 17 posts per day in the latest tracked seven-day window, projecting roughly 51 total for the three-day span when excluding replies. The adjacent 65–89 bucket (32.5%) captures upside variance during active periods, while sub-40 remains a lower-probability scenario absent major news catalysts. No high-profile events or platform-wide developments are scheduled that weekend to drive atypical volume spikes, keeping probabilities anchored to Musk’s baseline rhythm of commentary, reposts, and engagement rather than election-style surges seen in prior cycles.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 27 12:00 PM ET to August 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$5,833End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent trader consensus for Elon Musk’s X activity over August 27–29 centers on the 40–64 range (45.5% implied probability) because his observed posting frequency has stabilized near 17 posts per day in the latest tracked seven-day window, projecting roughly 51 total for the three-day span when excluding replies. The adjacent 65–89 bucket (32.5%) captures upside variance during active periods, while sub-40 remains a lower-probability scenario absent major news catalysts. No high-profile events or platform-wide developments are scheduled that weekend to drive atypical volume spikes, keeping probabilities anchored to Musk’s baseline rhythm of commentary, reposts, and engagement rather than election-style surges seen in prior cycles.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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