Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace on X, averaging around 45–50 tweets daily amid ongoing commentary on AI tools like Grok Voice, SpaceX operations, fertility trends, and platform dynamics, has anchored trader sentiment toward the 320-339 range at 66.6% implied probability. A reported 63-tweet day on August 22 and consistent high-output activity through August 24 reflect his pattern of real-time engagement during active periods rather than isolated spikes, pushing weekly totals well above historical lows. With only one day remaining in the August 18–25 window and trackers projecting roughly 340–350 overall, the frontrunning bracket captures the consensus around sustained volume driven by tech milestones and cultural debates. Nearby bins like 340-359 at 22.6% account for any late surge, while lower ranges remain discounted given the momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated320-339 67.9%
340-359 21.6%
300-319 5.8%
360-379 3.6%
$3,910,009 Vol.
$3,910,009 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
300-319
6%
320-339
68%
340-359
22%
360-379
4%
380-399
1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
320-339 67.9%
340-359 21.6%
300-319 5.8%
360-379 3.6%
$3,910,009 Vol.
$3,910,009 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
300-319
$249,275 Vol.
6%
320-339
$153,863 Vol.
68%
340-359
$194,045 Vol.
22%
360-379
$191,238 Vol.
4%
380-399
$208,220 Vol.
1%
400-419
$259,794 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$222,627 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$154,488 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$136,295 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$125,524 Vol.
<1%
500+
$223,831 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 18 12:00 PM ET to August 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace on X, averaging around 45–50 tweets daily amid ongoing commentary on AI tools like Grok Voice, SpaceX operations, fertility trends, and platform dynamics, has anchored trader sentiment toward the 320-339 range at 66.6% implied probability. A reported 63-tweet day on August 22 and consistent high-output activity through August 24 reflect his pattern of real-time engagement during active periods rather than isolated spikes, pushing weekly totals well above historical lows. With only one day remaining in the August 18–25 window and trackers projecting roughly 340–350 overall, the frontrunning bracket captures the consensus around sustained volume driven by tech milestones and cultural debates. Nearby bins like 340-359 at 22.6% account for any late surge, while lower ranges remain discounted given the momentum.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 18 12:00 PM ET to August 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$3,910,009End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 18 12:00 PM ET to August 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace on X, averaging around 45–50 tweets daily amid ongoing commentary on AI tools like Grok Voice, SpaceX operations, fertility trends, and platform dynamics, has anchored trader sentiment toward the 320-339 range at 66.6% implied probability. A reported 63-tweet day on August 22 and consistent high-output activity through August 24 reflect his pattern of real-time engagement during active periods rather than isolated spikes, pushing weekly totals well above historical lows. With only one day remaining in the August 18–25 window and trackers projecting roughly 340–350 overall, the frontrunning bracket captures the consensus around sustained volume driven by tech milestones and cultural debates. Nearby bins like 340-359 at 22.6% account for any late surge, while lower ranges remain discounted given the momentum.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 18 12:00 PM ET to August 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$3,910,009End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace on X, averaging around 45–50 tweets daily amid ongoing commentary on AI tools like Grok Voice, SpaceX operations, fertility trends, and platform dynamics, has anchored trader sentiment toward the 320-339 range at 66.6% implied probability. A reported 63-tweet day on August 22 and consistent high-output activity through August 24 reflect his pattern of real-time engagement during active periods rather than isolated spikes, pushing weekly totals well above historical lows. With only one day remaining in the August 18–25 window and trackers projecting roughly 340–350 overall, the frontrunning bracket captures the consensus around sustained volume driven by tech milestones and cultural debates. Nearby bins like 340-359 at 22.6% account for any late surge, while lower ranges remain discounted given the momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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