Monday’s dominant 61% implied probability stems from its broadcast featuring tributes to actress Hayden Panettiere following her sudden death, alongside catastrophic Heartland flooding and Hurricane Lala’s impact on Hawaii, creating a high-engagement mix of celebrity news and severe weather that typically spikes audience numbers. Traders appear to view these elements as stronger draws than later-week stories such as the foiled Albany terror plot or Reno’s Hawk Fire evacuations, which support the secondary probabilities clustered around Saturday through Friday. Historical patterns for ABC World News Tonight show that celebrity passings and multi-state weather crises reliably elevate single-day viewership, aligning with the current market consensus ahead of any final Nielsen data for the Aug 17–23 window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMost Viewed Day of ABC World News Tonight This Week (Aug 17-23)
Sunday 27%
Thursday 25%
Friday 25%
Tuesday 22%
Monday
61%
Tuesday
22%
Wednesday
18%
Thursday
25%
Friday
25%
Saturday
18%
Sunday
27%
Sunday 27%
Thursday 25%
Friday 25%
Tuesday 22%
Monday
61%
Tuesday
22%
Wednesday
18%
Thursday
25%
Friday
25%
Saturday
18%
Sunday
27%
This market will resolve according to the day of the week on which the edition of ABC World News Tonight with the highest number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+ average total viewers, P2+) aired during the Week of August 17 - August 23, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart.
This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution.
If Nielsen reports an entry for ABC World News Tonight without specifying the day of the week on which it aired, that entry will be treated as having aired on Monday.
If the specified show does not appear on the final chart for the specified week, this market will resolve to "Monday".
If two or more editions of ABC World News Tonight are reported with the same number of viewers, and that figure is the highest reported for the specified week, this market will resolve to the earliest of those days within the Monday-Sunday week.
If the data for the specified week is entirely unreleased by 11:59 PM ET on the second Thursday following the specified week, this market will resolve to "Monday". If the data for the specified week remains partially published (i.e. excluding certain days of the week) by that time, this market will resolve based on the viewership data available at that point.
This market will resolve according to Nielsen’s P2+ viewership statistic for the specified week, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, regardless of any future changes in methodology.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Nielsen, specifically their P2+ viewership statistic as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart (see: https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#television).
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 3:58 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#televisionResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the day of the week on which the edition of ABC World News Tonight with the highest number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+ average total viewers, P2+) aired during the Week of August 17 - August 23, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart.
This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution.
If Nielsen reports an entry for ABC World News Tonight without specifying the day of the week on which it aired, that entry will be treated as having aired on Monday.
If the specified show does not appear on the final chart for the specified week, this market will resolve to "Monday".
If two or more editions of ABC World News Tonight are reported with the same number of viewers, and that figure is the highest reported for the specified week, this market will resolve to the earliest of those days within the Monday-Sunday week.
If the data for the specified week is entirely unreleased by 11:59 PM ET on the second Thursday following the specified week, this market will resolve to "Monday". If the data for the specified week remains partially published (i.e. excluding certain days of the week) by that time, this market will resolve based on the viewership data available at that point.
This market will resolve according to Nielsen’s P2+ viewership statistic for the specified week, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, regardless of any future changes in methodology.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Nielsen, specifically their P2+ viewership statistic as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart (see: https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#television).
Resolution Source
https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#televisionResolver
0x69c47De9D...Monday’s dominant 61% implied probability stems from its broadcast featuring tributes to actress Hayden Panettiere following her sudden death, alongside catastrophic Heartland flooding and Hurricane Lala’s impact on Hawaii, creating a high-engagement mix of celebrity news and severe weather that typically spikes audience numbers. Traders appear to view these elements as stronger draws than later-week stories such as the foiled Albany terror plot or Reno’s Hawk Fire evacuations, which support the secondary probabilities clustered around Saturday through Friday. Historical patterns for ABC World News Tonight show that celebrity passings and multi-state weather crises reliably elevate single-day viewership, aligning with the current market consensus ahead of any final Nielsen data for the Aug 17–23 window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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