Pluribus, Vince Gilligan’s freshman Apple TV+ drama starring Rhea Seehorn, earned 18 Emmy nominations in July 2026—the most ever for a first-year Gilligan series—including bids for Outstanding Drama Series, lead actress, supporting acting, directing, and technical categories. This strong showing, bolstered by early critical acclaim and guild-level recognition, drives the market’s heavy lean toward 2-3 wins as the consensus outcome. Traders see limited upside beyond that given fierce competition in drama categories from frontrunners like The Pitt and established programs, alongside typical patterns where new series convert only a fraction of nominations. The September ceremony remains the key catalyst, with late momentum from reviews or precursors potentially shifting the 0-1 or 4-5 brackets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHow many Emmys will “Pluribus” win?
How many Emmys will “Pluribus” win?
2-3 73%
0-1 22%
4-5 6.9%
6-7 <1%
$28,289 Vol.
$28,289 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
0-1
22%
2-3
73%
4-5
7%
6-7
<1%
8-9
<1%
10+
<1%
2-3 73%
0-1 22%
4-5 6.9%
6-7 <1%
$28,289 Vol.
$28,289 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
0-1
$7,455 Vol.
22%
2-3
$9,260 Vol.
73%
4-5
$6,656 Vol.
7%
6-7
$2,802 Vol.
<1%
8-9
$1,304 Vol.
<1%
10+
$813 Vol.
<1%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California.
This market will resolve according to the number of Emmys won by "Pluribus," or by people for their roles in "Pluribus," awarded during the live Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony, expected to be held on September 14, 2026. Awards presented at the Creative Arts Emmy Awards (September 5–6, 2026) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Each award will count once even if it has multiple recipients.
If the Primetime Emmys are partially awarded by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of awards won by the specified show up until that point. If, for any reason, no winners are declared by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pluribus, Vince Gilligan’s freshman Apple TV+ drama starring Rhea Seehorn, earned 18 Emmy nominations in July 2026—the most ever for a first-year Gilligan series—including bids for Outstanding Drama Series, lead actress, supporting acting, directing, and technical categories. This strong showing, bolstered by early critical acclaim and guild-level recognition, drives the market’s heavy lean toward 2-3 wins as the consensus outcome. Traders see limited upside beyond that given fierce competition in drama categories from frontrunners like The Pitt and established programs, alongside typical patterns where new series convert only a fraction of nominations. The September ceremony remains the key catalyst, with late momentum from reviews or precursors potentially shifting the 0-1 or 4-5 brackets.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California.
This market will resolve according to the number of Emmys won by "Pluribus," or by people for their roles in "Pluribus," awarded during the live Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony, expected to be held on September 14, 2026. Awards presented at the Creative Arts Emmy Awards (September 5–6, 2026) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Each award will count once even if it has multiple recipients.
If the Primetime Emmys are partially awarded by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of awards won by the specified show up until that point. If, for any reason, no winners are declared by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of Emmys won by "Pluribus," or by people for their roles in "Pluribus," awarded during the live Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony, expected to be held on September 14, 2026. Awards presented at the Creative Arts Emmy Awards (September 5–6, 2026) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Each award will count once even if it has multiple recipients.
If the Primetime Emmys are partially awarded by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of awards won by the specified show up until that point. If, for any reason, no winners are declared by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
Volume
$28,289End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California.
This market will resolve according to the number of Emmys won by "Pluribus," or by people for their roles in "Pluribus," awarded during the live Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony, expected to be held on September 14, 2026. Awards presented at the Creative Arts Emmy Awards (September 5–6, 2026) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Each award will count once even if it has multiple recipients.
If the Primetime Emmys are partially awarded by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of awards won by the specified show up until that point. If, for any reason, no winners are declared by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pluribus, Vince Gilligan’s freshman Apple TV+ drama starring Rhea Seehorn, earned 18 Emmy nominations in July 2026—the most ever for a first-year Gilligan series—including bids for Outstanding Drama Series, lead actress, supporting acting, directing, and technical categories. This strong showing, bolstered by early critical acclaim and guild-level recognition, drives the market’s heavy lean toward 2-3 wins as the consensus outcome. Traders see limited upside beyond that given fierce competition in drama categories from frontrunners like The Pitt and established programs, alongside typical patterns where new series convert only a fraction of nominations. The September ceremony remains the key catalyst, with late momentum from reviews or precursors potentially shifting the 0-1 or 4-5 brackets.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California.
This market will resolve according to the number of Emmys won by "Pluribus," or by people for their roles in "Pluribus," awarded during the live Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony, expected to be held on September 14, 2026. Awards presented at the Creative Arts Emmy Awards (September 5–6, 2026) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Each award will count once even if it has multiple recipients.
If the Primetime Emmys are partially awarded by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of awards won by the specified show up until that point. If, for any reason, no winners are declared by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of Emmys won by "Pluribus," or by people for their roles in "Pluribus," awarded during the live Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony, expected to be held on September 14, 2026. Awards presented at the Creative Arts Emmy Awards (September 5–6, 2026) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Each award will count once even if it has multiple recipients.
If the Primetime Emmys are partially awarded by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of awards won by the specified show up until that point. If, for any reason, no winners are declared by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$28,289End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Pluribus, Vince Gilligan’s freshman Apple TV+ drama starring Rhea Seehorn, earned 18 Emmy nominations in July 2026—the most ever for a first-year Gilligan series—including bids for Outstanding Drama Series, lead actress, supporting acting, directing, and technical categories. This strong showing, bolstered by early critical acclaim and guild-level recognition, drives the market’s heavy lean toward 2-3 wins as the consensus outcome. Traders see limited upside beyond that given fierce competition in drama categories from frontrunners like The Pitt and established programs, alongside typical patterns where new series convert only a fraction of nominations. The September ceremony remains the key catalyst, with late momentum from reviews or precursors potentially shifting the 0-1 or 4-5 brackets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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