Kate O’Flynn’s breakout turn as a sardonic political assistant in Apple TV’s buzzy horror-comedy “Widow’s Bay” has driven her to frontrunner status in the supporting actress comedy race. The freshman series earned 19 nominations and widespread critical praise plus celebrity endorsements, creating strong voter momentum that boosted her implied probability to 65%. Defending winner Hannah Einbinder from “Hacks” holds second at 27.5% on the strength of her prior Emmy and the show’s final-season visibility, though late-summer voting shifts have narrowed her lead. Lower contenders like Janelle James (“Abbott Elementary”), Michelle Pfeiffer (“Margo’s Got Money Troubles”), and co-nominee Dale Dickey reflect solid but less dominant campaigns amid a competitive field. The Sept. 14 ceremony remains the key catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEmmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series
Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series
Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay” 66.8%
Hannah Einbinder – “Hacks” 28%
Michelle Pfeiffer – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles” 3.5%
Dale Dickey – “Widow’s Bay” 3.3%
$21,456 Vol.
$21,456 Vol.
Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay”
67%
Hannah Einbinder – “Hacks”
28%
Michelle Pfeiffer – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles”
4%
Dale Dickey – “Widow’s Bay”
3%
Janelle James – “Abbott Elementary”
3%
Jessica Williams – “Shrinking”
2%
Megan Stalter – “Hacks”
2%
Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay” 66.8%
Hannah Einbinder – “Hacks” 28%
Michelle Pfeiffer – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles” 3.5%
Dale Dickey – “Widow’s Bay” 3.3%
$21,456 Vol.
$21,456 Vol.
Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay”
67%
Hannah Einbinder – “Hacks”
28%
Michelle Pfeiffer – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles”
4%
Dale Dickey – “Widow’s Bay”
3%
Janelle James – “Abbott Elementary”
3%
Jessica Williams – “Shrinking”
2%
Megan Stalter – “Hacks”
2%
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 9, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kate O’Flynn’s breakout turn as a sardonic political assistant in Apple TV’s buzzy horror-comedy “Widow’s Bay” has driven her to frontrunner status in the supporting actress comedy race. The freshman series earned 19 nominations and widespread critical praise plus celebrity endorsements, creating strong voter momentum that boosted her implied probability to 65%. Defending winner Hannah Einbinder from “Hacks” holds second at 27.5% on the strength of her prior Emmy and the show’s final-season visibility, though late-summer voting shifts have narrowed her lead. Lower contenders like Janelle James (“Abbott Elementary”), Michelle Pfeiffer (“Margo’s Got Money Troubles”), and co-nominee Dale Dickey reflect solid but less dominant campaigns amid a competitive field. The Sept. 14 ceremony remains the key catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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