Spider-Man: Brand New Day's record $360 million domestic opening weekend and rapid climb past $800 million in just 19 days have anchored trader consensus around the 800-900 million range. Strong critical reception, Tom Holland and Zendaya's star power, and a 2.4x multiplier have sustained solid midweek holds with daily grosses still in the low millions as of late August. The film has already surpassed Avengers: Endgame domestically with minimal competition through the final weekend, making further acceleration to 900 million unlikely before the August 31 cutoff. An upset below 800 million would require an unprecedented late collapse in audience interest, which current tracking and theater averages show no signs of materializing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31?
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31?
800 - 900m 96.8%
900m+ 2.9%
<400m <1%
400 - 500m <1%
$2,031,862 Vol.
$2,031,862 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<400m
<1%
400 - 500m
<1%
500 - 600m
<1%
600 - 700m
<1%
700 - 800m
<1%
800 - 900m
97%
900m+
3%
800 - 900m 96.8%
900m+ 2.9%
<400m <1%
400 - 500m <1%
$2,031,862 Vol.
$2,031,862 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<400m
$49,915 Vol.
<1%
400 - 500m
$35,670 Vol.
<1%
500 - 600m
$31,489 Vol.
<1%
600 - 700m
$46,259 Vol.
<1%
700 - 800m
$129,755 Vol.
<1%
800 - 900m
$565,600 Vol.
97%
900m+
$1,173,173 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day's record $360 million domestic opening weekend and rapid climb past $800 million in just 19 days have anchored trader consensus around the 800-900 million range. Strong critical reception, Tom Holland and Zendaya's star power, and a 2.4x multiplier have sustained solid midweek holds with daily grosses still in the low millions as of late August. The film has already surpassed Avengers: Endgame domestically with minimal competition through the final weekend, making further acceleration to 900 million unlikely before the August 31 cutoff. An upset below 800 million would require an unprecedented late collapse in audience interest, which current tracking and theater averages show no signs of materializing.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Volume
$2,031,862End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day's record $360 million domestic opening weekend and rapid climb past $800 million in just 19 days have anchored trader consensus around the 800-900 million range. Strong critical reception, Tom Holland and Zendaya's star power, and a 2.4x multiplier have sustained solid midweek holds with daily grosses still in the low millions as of late August. The film has already surpassed Avengers: Endgame domestically with minimal competition through the final weekend, making further acceleration to 900 million unlikely before the August 31 cutoff. An upset below 800 million would require an unprecedented late collapse in audience interest, which current tracking and theater averages show no signs of materializing.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$2,031,862End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day's record $360 million domestic opening weekend and rapid climb past $800 million in just 19 days have anchored trader consensus around the 800-900 million range. Strong critical reception, Tom Holland and Zendaya's star power, and a 2.4x multiplier have sustained solid midweek holds with daily grosses still in the low millions as of late August. The film has already surpassed Avengers: Endgame domestically with minimal competition through the final weekend, making further acceleration to 900 million unlikely before the August 31 cutoff. An upset below 800 million would require an unprecedented late collapse in audience interest, which current tracking and theater averages show no signs of materializing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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