**Spider-Man: Brand New Day**’s record $360 million domestic opening and subsequent performance have established a strong base near $866 million as of late August, with traders pricing the September 30 total most heavily in the 940–960 million range. Sustained top ranking through its fourth weekend, including a $39 million frame and daily grosses still in the low millions, reflects broad audience appeal and cultural momentum that have already pushed the film past Avengers: Endgame domestically. Typical superhero legs and accelerating competition in September are expected to moderate further additions, aligning market-implied odds with a final haul in the mid-to-high 900 millions rather than a late surge toward 970 million or a stall below 940 million.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
950 - 960m 37%
<940m 21%
970m+ 14%
960 - 970m 9%
NEW
NEW
Sep 30, 2026
<940m
21%
940 - 950m
54%
950 - 960m
37%
960 - 970m
9%
970m+
14%
950 - 960m 37%
<940m 21%
970m+ 14%
960 - 970m 9%
NEW
NEW
Sep 30, 2026
<940m
$167 Vol.
21%
940 - 950m
$233 Vol.
54%
950 - 960m
$131 Vol.
37%
960 - 970m
$103 Vol.
9%
970m+
$109 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by September 30, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and September 30, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including September 30, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day**’s record $360 million domestic opening and subsequent performance have established a strong base near $866 million as of late August, with traders pricing the September 30 total most heavily in the 940–960 million range. Sustained top ranking through its fourth weekend, including a $39 million frame and daily grosses still in the low millions, reflects broad audience appeal and cultural momentum that have already pushed the film past Avengers: Endgame domestically. Typical superhero legs and accelerating competition in September are expected to moderate further additions, aligning market-implied odds with a final haul in the mid-to-high 900 millions rather than a late surge toward 970 million or a stall below 940 million.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by September 30, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and September 30, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including September 30, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including September 30, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
Volume
$743End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by September 30, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and September 30, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including September 30, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day**’s record $360 million domestic opening and subsequent performance have established a strong base near $866 million as of late August, with traders pricing the September 30 total most heavily in the 940–960 million range. Sustained top ranking through its fourth weekend, including a $39 million frame and daily grosses still in the low millions, reflects broad audience appeal and cultural momentum that have already pushed the film past Avengers: Endgame domestically. Typical superhero legs and accelerating competition in September are expected to moderate further additions, aligning market-implied odds with a final haul in the mid-to-high 900 millions rather than a late surge toward 970 million or a stall below 940 million.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by September 30, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and September 30, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including September 30, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including September 30, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$743End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Spider-Man: Brand New Day**’s record $360 million domestic opening and subsequent performance have established a strong base near $866 million as of late August, with traders pricing the September 30 total most heavily in the 940–960 million range. Sustained top ranking through its fourth weekend, including a $39 million frame and daily grosses still in the low millions, reflects broad audience appeal and cultural momentum that have already pushed the film past Avengers: Endgame domestically. Typical superhero legs and accelerating competition in September are expected to moderate further additions, aligning market-implied odds with a final haul in the mid-to-high 900 millions rather than a late surge toward 970 million or a stall below 940 million.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions