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What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

icon for What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

Sep 1

Sep 1

Outer Banks: Season 5 49%

Beauty in Black: Season 3 49%

Tires: Season 3 47%

Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1 46%

Polymarket
NEW

Outer Banks: Season 5 49%

Beauty in Black: Season 3 49%

Tires: Season 3 47%

Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1 46%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Outer Banks: Season 5

Outer Banks: Season 5

$0 Vol.

49%

icon for Beauty in Black: Season 3

Beauty in Black: Season 3

$0 Vol.

49%

icon for My Brilliant Career: Season 1

My Brilliant Career: Season 1

$13 Vol.

24%

icon for Tires: Season 3

Tires: Season 3

$470 Vol.

47%

icon for Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1

Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1

$473 Vol.

46%

icon for Danny Go!: Season 2

Danny Go!: Season 2

$473 Vol.

23%

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix show. Shows will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more shows are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the shows' listed titles. This market will resolve to the show that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".With several high-profile titles clustered near 50% implied probability, trader consensus highlights a tight race for the number-two US Netflix spot driven by overlapping release windows and comparable viewer engagement. Outer Banks Season 5 and Beauty in Black Season 3 sit at the front of the pack on the strength of established fanbases, consistent weekly drops, and strong social metrics, while Tires Season 3 and the new Manson Tapes docuseries trail by narrow margins. Differentiators include binge-completion rates, algorithmic promotion, and competition from other originals; the next Netflix Top 10 refresh and any late-week viewership surges remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift positions.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix show. Shows will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more shows are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the shows' listed titles. This market will resolve to the show that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$1,430
End Date
Sep 1, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 7:44 PM ET
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix show. Shows will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more shows are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the shows' listed titles. This market will resolve to the show that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix show. Shows will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more shows are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the shows' listed titles. This market will resolve to the show that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".With several high-profile titles clustered near 50% implied probability, trader consensus highlights a tight race for the number-two US Netflix spot driven by overlapping release windows and comparable viewer engagement. Outer Banks Season 5 and Beauty in Black Season 3 sit at the front of the pack on the strength of established fanbases, consistent weekly drops, and strong social metrics, while Tires Season 3 and the new Manson Tapes docuseries trail by narrow margins. Differentiators include binge-completion rates, algorithmic promotion, and competition from other originals; the next Netflix Top 10 refresh and any late-week viewership surges remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift positions.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix show. Shows will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more shows are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the shows' listed titles. This market will resolve to the show that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$1,430
End Date
Sep 1, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 7:44 PM ET
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix show. Shows will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more shows are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the shows' listed titles. This market will resolve to the show that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Outer Banks: Season 5" at 49%, followed by "Beauty in Black: Season 3" at 49%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 49¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 26, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?" is "Outer Banks: Season 5" at 49%, meaning the market assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Beauty in Black: Season 3" at 49%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.