With several high-profile titles clustered near 50% implied probability, trader consensus highlights a tight race for the number-two US Netflix spot driven by overlapping release windows and comparable viewer engagement. Outer Banks Season 5 and Beauty in Black Season 3 sit at the front of the pack on the strength of established fanbases, consistent weekly drops, and strong social metrics, while Tires Season 3 and the new Manson Tapes docuseries trail by narrow margins. Differentiators include binge-completion rates, algorithmic promotion, and competition from other originals; the next Netflix Top 10 refresh and any late-week viewership surges remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift positions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhat will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
Outer Banks: Season 5 49%
Beauty in Black: Season 3 49%
Tires: Season 3 47%
Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1 46%

Outer Banks: Season 5
49%

Beauty in Black: Season 3
49%

My Brilliant Career: Season 1
24%

Tires: Season 3
47%

Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1
46%

Danny Go!: Season 2
23%
Outer Banks: Season 5 49%
Beauty in Black: Season 3 49%
Tires: Season 3 47%
Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1 46%

Outer Banks: Season 5
49%

Beauty in Black: Season 3
49%

My Brilliant Career: Season 1
24%

Tires: Season 3
47%

Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1
46%

Danny Go!: Season 2
23%
This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix show. Shows will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more shows are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the shows' listed titles. This market will resolve to the show that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows.
If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 7:44 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix show. Shows will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more shows are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the shows' listed titles. This market will resolve to the show that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows.
If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...With several high-profile titles clustered near 50% implied probability, trader consensus highlights a tight race for the number-two US Netflix spot driven by overlapping release windows and comparable viewer engagement. Outer Banks Season 5 and Beauty in Black Season 3 sit at the front of the pack on the strength of established fanbases, consistent weekly drops, and strong social metrics, while Tires Season 3 and the new Manson Tapes docuseries trail by narrow margins. Differentiators include binge-completion rates, algorithmic promotion, and competition from other originals; the next Netflix Top 10 refresh and any late-week viewership surges remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift positions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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