Near-certain trader consensus on "No" at 98.2% reflects the extremely short window remaining before 2027 combined with the absence of any verifiable signs or official developments that could trigger a return. Historical precedent shows no such event in two millennia, and religious outcomes like this hinge on unpredictable theological interpretations rather than measurable metrics such as box office, chart performance, or guild votes. With only months left, the market treats the resolution as effectively locked absent a sudden, globally confirmed apocalyptic shift. Realistic upset scenarios remain narrow, limited to an unprecedented worldwide event interpreted as fulfillment, though even then confirmation timelines would likely extend past year-end.