Elon Musk’s consistent high-volume activity on X continues to anchor trader sentiment around the 65-89 tweet range for the August 24-26 window, reflecting his typical daily pace of roughly 22-30 original posts amid ongoing engagement with AI, Starlink, and cultural topics. Recent posts from August 24 highlight replies on Grok Voice capabilities, fertility trends, and business updates, aligning with patterns seen in similar short-period markets where steady output without major spikes prevails. This positions the 40-64 and 90-114 buckets as secondary contenders, as traders weigh potential moderation from weekend timing against the possibility of heightened commentary on breaking tech or policy news. Historical averages from 2025-2026 show Musk sustaining elevated but not outlier posting volumes unless driven by acute controversies or product launches, lending the current implied probabilities their edge in this fast-moving social media market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated65-89 42%
40-64 30%
90-114 20.5%
115-139 6.1%
$71,418 Vol.
$71,418 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
<40
2%
40-64
30%
65-89
42%
90-114
20%
115-139
6%
140-164
2%
165-189
1%
190-214
1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 42%
40-64 30%
90-114 20.5%
115-139 6.1%
$71,418 Vol.
$71,418 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
<40
$17,225 Vol.
2%
40-64
$9,535 Vol.
30%
65-89
$8,298 Vol.
42%
90-114
$7,305 Vol.
20%
115-139
$10,114 Vol.
6%
140-164
$4,978 Vol.
2%
165-189
$3,586 Vol.
1%
190-214
$8,805 Vol.
1%
215-239
$1,672 Vol.
<1%
240+
$3,522 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 24 12:00 PM ET to August 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s consistent high-volume activity on X continues to anchor trader sentiment around the 65-89 tweet range for the August 24-26 window, reflecting his typical daily pace of roughly 22-30 original posts amid ongoing engagement with AI, Starlink, and cultural topics. Recent posts from August 24 highlight replies on Grok Voice capabilities, fertility trends, and business updates, aligning with patterns seen in similar short-period markets where steady output without major spikes prevails. This positions the 40-64 and 90-114 buckets as secondary contenders, as traders weigh potential moderation from weekend timing against the possibility of heightened commentary on breaking tech or policy news. Historical averages from 2025-2026 show Musk sustaining elevated but not outlier posting volumes unless driven by acute controversies or product launches, lending the current implied probabilities their edge in this fast-moving social media market.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 24 12:00 PM ET to August 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$71,418End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 24 12:00 PM ET to August 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s consistent high-volume activity on X continues to anchor trader sentiment around the 65-89 tweet range for the August 24-26 window, reflecting his typical daily pace of roughly 22-30 original posts amid ongoing engagement with AI, Starlink, and cultural topics. Recent posts from August 24 highlight replies on Grok Voice capabilities, fertility trends, and business updates, aligning with patterns seen in similar short-period markets where steady output without major spikes prevails. This positions the 40-64 and 90-114 buckets as secondary contenders, as traders weigh potential moderation from weekend timing against the possibility of heightened commentary on breaking tech or policy news. Historical averages from 2025-2026 show Musk sustaining elevated but not outlier posting volumes unless driven by acute controversies or product launches, lending the current implied probabilities their edge in this fast-moving social media market.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 24 12:00 PM ET to August 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$71,418End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s consistent high-volume activity on X continues to anchor trader sentiment around the 65-89 tweet range for the August 24-26 window, reflecting his typical daily pace of roughly 22-30 original posts amid ongoing engagement with AI, Starlink, and cultural topics. Recent posts from August 24 highlight replies on Grok Voice capabilities, fertility trends, and business updates, aligning with patterns seen in similar short-period markets where steady output without major spikes prevails. This positions the 40-64 and 90-114 buckets as secondary contenders, as traders weigh potential moderation from weekend timing against the possibility of heightened commentary on breaking tech or policy news. Historical averages from 2025-2026 show Musk sustaining elevated but not outlier posting volumes unless driven by acute controversies or product launches, lending the current implied probabilities their edge in this fast-moving social media market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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