Trader consensus positions the 65-89 tweet range as the clear frontrunner for Elon Musk’s activity on X from August 24-26, reflecting his established pattern of high-volume posting during typical news cycles. Bettors are pricing in his routine engagement with Tesla and SpaceX updates, tech commentary, and viral cultural moments that frequently drive 20-plus daily posts, producing the observed bell-curve distribution peaking near 22-30 tweets per day. Lower-probability bins above 115 or below 40 capture tail scenarios tied to major breaking events or unexpected quiet periods, while the tight clustering around moderate-to-high volume underscores traders’ reliance on Musk’s recent historical averages rather than any singular announced catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated65-89 42%
40-64 31%
90-114 19.8%
115-139 5.9%
$75,283 Vol.
$75,283 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
<40
2%
40-64
31%
65-89
42%
90-114
20%
115-139
6%
140-164
2%
165-189
<1%
190-214
1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 42%
40-64 31%
90-114 19.8%
115-139 5.9%
$75,283 Vol.
$75,283 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
<40
$17,225 Vol.
2%
40-64
$9,555 Vol.
31%
65-89
$8,315 Vol.
42%
90-114
$7,305 Vol.
20%
115-139
$10,114 Vol.
6%
140-164
$5,183 Vol.
2%
165-189
$3,586 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$8,805 Vol.
1%
215-239
$1,672 Vol.
<1%
240+
$3,522 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 24 12:00 PM ET to August 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus positions the 65-89 tweet range as the clear frontrunner for Elon Musk’s activity on X from August 24-26, reflecting his established pattern of high-volume posting during typical news cycles. Bettors are pricing in his routine engagement with Tesla and SpaceX updates, tech commentary, and viral cultural moments that frequently drive 20-plus daily posts, producing the observed bell-curve distribution peaking near 22-30 tweets per day. Lower-probability bins above 115 or below 40 capture tail scenarios tied to major breaking events or unexpected quiet periods, while the tight clustering around moderate-to-high volume underscores traders’ reliance on Musk’s recent historical averages rather than any singular announced catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 24 12:00 PM ET to August 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$75,283End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 24 12:00 PM ET to August 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus positions the 65-89 tweet range as the clear frontrunner for Elon Musk’s activity on X from August 24-26, reflecting his established pattern of high-volume posting during typical news cycles. Bettors are pricing in his routine engagement with Tesla and SpaceX updates, tech commentary, and viral cultural moments that frequently drive 20-plus daily posts, producing the observed bell-curve distribution peaking near 22-30 tweets per day. Lower-probability bins above 115 or below 40 capture tail scenarios tied to major breaking events or unexpected quiet periods, while the tight clustering around moderate-to-high volume underscores traders’ reliance on Musk’s recent historical averages rather than any singular announced catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 24 12:00 PM ET to August 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$75,283End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus positions the 65-89 tweet range as the clear frontrunner for Elon Musk’s activity on X from August 24-26, reflecting his established pattern of high-volume posting during typical news cycles. Bettors are pricing in his routine engagement with Tesla and SpaceX updates, tech commentary, and viral cultural moments that frequently drive 20-plus daily posts, producing the observed bell-curve distribution peaking near 22-30 tweets per day. Lower-probability bins above 115 or below 40 capture tail scenarios tied to major breaking events or unexpected quiet periods, while the tight clustering around moderate-to-high volume underscores traders’ reliance on Musk’s recent historical averages rather than any singular announced catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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