**New York’s July 2026 executive order imposing the nation’s first statewide pause on hyperscale data centers over 50 MW has anchored trader sentiment at a 67.5% implied probability for “Yes.”** Concerns over surging electricity demand, water use, grid strain, and community impacts from AI training and inference workloads have driven dozens of legislative proposals and more than 500 local moratoria across 30 states in 2026. New York’s action followed failed or vetoed efforts in Maine and several others, while ongoing bills in states like Georgia, Michigan, and Oklahoma, plus recent pauses in Texas and Pennsylvania, keep momentum high. Traders weigh the risk of additional executive or legislative pauses before year-end against potential pushback from industry incentives and fast-track permitting, creating the current consensus around a modest but clear likelihood of further state-level restrictions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWill any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?
Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?
68% chance
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
68% chance
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any U.S. state enacts legislation that establishes a statewide moratorium on new data centers by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium must temporarily or indefinitely prohibit, suspend, or pause the approval, permitting, construction, connection to the electrical grid or other utility infrastructure, or operation of new data centers, or a defined category of new data centers, within that state.
Qualifying legislation includes any state bill that establishes such a data center moratorium.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted into law in accordance with the applicable state’s constitutional and legal procedures. This generally requires final passage by the relevant state legislature and approval by the governor, becoming law without signature, or taking effect through a veto override or other lawful mechanism. Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official state legislative trackers, governor’s office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**New York’s July 2026 executive order imposing the nation’s first statewide pause on hyperscale data centers over 50 MW has anchored trader sentiment at a 67.5% implied probability for “Yes.”** Concerns over surging electricity demand, water use, grid strain, and community impacts from AI training and inference workloads have driven dozens of legislative proposals and more than 500 local moratoria across 30 states in 2026. New York’s action followed failed or vetoed efforts in Maine and several others, while ongoing bills in states like Georgia, Michigan, and Oklahoma, plus recent pauses in Texas and Pennsylvania, keep momentum high. Traders weigh the risk of additional executive or legislative pauses before year-end against potential pushback from industry incentives and fast-track permitting, creating the current consensus around a modest but clear likelihood of further state-level restrictions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any U.S. state enacts legislation that establishes a statewide moratorium on new data centers by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium must temporarily or indefinitely prohibit, suspend, or pause the approval, permitting, construction, connection to the electrical grid or other utility infrastructure, or operation of new data centers, or a defined category of new data centers, within that state.
Qualifying legislation includes any state bill that establishes such a data center moratorium.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted into law in accordance with the applicable state’s constitutional and legal procedures. This generally requires final passage by the relevant state legislature and approval by the governor, becoming law without signature, or taking effect through a veto override or other lawful mechanism. Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official state legislative trackers, governor’s office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying moratorium must temporarily or indefinitely prohibit, suspend, or pause the approval, permitting, construction, connection to the electrical grid or other utility infrastructure, or operation of new data centers, or a defined category of new data centers, within that state.
Qualifying legislation includes any state bill that establishes such a data center moratorium.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted into law in accordance with the applicable state’s constitutional and legal procedures. This generally requires final passage by the relevant state legislature and approval by the governor, becoming law without signature, or taking effect through a veto override or other lawful mechanism. Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official state legislative trackers, governor’s office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 7, 2026, 9:23 PM ET
Volume
$7,833End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 7, 2026, 9:23 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any U.S. state enacts legislation that establishes a statewide moratorium on new data centers by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium must temporarily or indefinitely prohibit, suspend, or pause the approval, permitting, construction, connection to the electrical grid or other utility infrastructure, or operation of new data centers, or a defined category of new data centers, within that state.
Qualifying legislation includes any state bill that establishes such a data center moratorium.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted into law in accordance with the applicable state’s constitutional and legal procedures. This generally requires final passage by the relevant state legislature and approval by the governor, becoming law without signature, or taking effect through a veto override or other lawful mechanism. Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official state legislative trackers, governor’s office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**New York’s July 2026 executive order imposing the nation’s first statewide pause on hyperscale data centers over 50 MW has anchored trader sentiment at a 67.5% implied probability for “Yes.”** Concerns over surging electricity demand, water use, grid strain, and community impacts from AI training and inference workloads have driven dozens of legislative proposals and more than 500 local moratoria across 30 states in 2026. New York’s action followed failed or vetoed efforts in Maine and several others, while ongoing bills in states like Georgia, Michigan, and Oklahoma, plus recent pauses in Texas and Pennsylvania, keep momentum high. Traders weigh the risk of additional executive or legislative pauses before year-end against potential pushback from industry incentives and fast-track permitting, creating the current consensus around a modest but clear likelihood of further state-level restrictions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any U.S. state enacts legislation that establishes a statewide moratorium on new data centers by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium must temporarily or indefinitely prohibit, suspend, or pause the approval, permitting, construction, connection to the electrical grid or other utility infrastructure, or operation of new data centers, or a defined category of new data centers, within that state.
Qualifying legislation includes any state bill that establishes such a data center moratorium.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted into law in accordance with the applicable state’s constitutional and legal procedures. This generally requires final passage by the relevant state legislature and approval by the governor, becoming law without signature, or taking effect through a veto override or other lawful mechanism. Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official state legislative trackers, governor’s office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying moratorium must temporarily or indefinitely prohibit, suspend, or pause the approval, permitting, construction, connection to the electrical grid or other utility infrastructure, or operation of new data centers, or a defined category of new data centers, within that state.
Qualifying legislation includes any state bill that establishes such a data center moratorium.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted into law in accordance with the applicable state’s constitutional and legal procedures. This generally requires final passage by the relevant state legislature and approval by the governor, becoming law without signature, or taking effect through a veto override or other lawful mechanism. Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official state legislative trackers, governor’s office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,833End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 7, 2026, 9:23 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**New York’s July 2026 executive order imposing the nation’s first statewide pause on hyperscale data centers over 50 MW has anchored trader sentiment at a 67.5% implied probability for “Yes.”** Concerns over surging electricity demand, water use, grid strain, and community impacts from AI training and inference workloads have driven dozens of legislative proposals and more than 500 local moratoria across 30 states in 2026. New York’s action followed failed or vetoed efforts in Maine and several others, while ongoing bills in states like Georgia, Michigan, and Oklahoma, plus recent pauses in Texas and Pennsylvania, keep momentum high. Traders weigh the risk of additional executive or legislative pauses before year-end against potential pushback from industry incentives and fast-track permitting, creating the current consensus around a modest but clear likelihood of further state-level restrictions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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